‹ vs WSH (Oct 9, 1983)@ BOS (Oct 15, 1983) ›

October 12, 1983

Maple Leaf Gardens | Toronto

BUF 4 – 4 TOR

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1304
TOR2024
Shots on goal BUF 25, TOR 29
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 4-4 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Sauve .862
TOR M. Palmateer .840
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 3
TOR 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
B. Derlago goal (P3 16:52), Sabres win chance drops from 92% to 49%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Cloutier
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
R. Sauve
.862 (25/29)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 16:52B. Derlago (3) 92% to 49%-43
  2. P3 19:16Fighting on Real Cloutier, 5 min 49% to 27%-22
  3. P3 19:16Fighting on Dan Daoust, 5 min 27% to 49%+22
  4. P2 14:15R. Cloutier (4) 49% to 70%+21

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1983–84 regular season (80 games).

Wins (48)Losses (25, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 17% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 92% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 82% when yes, 51% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#8 R. Cloutier (RW)
2
1
3
0
7
4
2.2
#7 D. McCourt (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
#18 P. Cyr (LW)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.9
#25 D. Andreychuk (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
#6 P. Housley (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
6
1.0
#19 J. Wiemer (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
#24 W. Hajt (D)
1
0
1
0
2
2
0.8
#27 L. Playfair (D)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
0.8
#9 G. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
#12 S. Mckenna (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
#14 M. Moller (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#15 C. Langevin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
#20 B. Peterson (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
#3 H. Virta (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#5 M. Ramsey (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
Total
4
7
11
15
25
8.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#28 R. Sauve294–.862–-0.565:00T

Team Stats

BUFTOR
25Shots on Goal29
3Power Play Chances4
67%PP%0%
100%PK%33%
2PPG0
15Penalty Minutes11

Full Game Log

1ST
03:59GOAL (BUF): Bill Hajt (1), assists: Real Cloutier, Dale McCourt
06:19GOAL (TOR): Rick Vaive (3), assists: Dave Farrish, Dan Daoust
14:21GOAL (TOR): Rick Vaive (4), assists: Gaston Gingras
2ND
01:34GOAL (BUF): Real Cloutier (3), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Phil Housley
14:15GOAL (BUF): Real Cloutier (4), assists: Paul Cyr, Dave Andreychuk
19:20GOAL (BUF): Larry Playfair (1), assists: Jim Wiemer
3RD
06:34GOAL (TOR): Bill Derlago (2), assists: Pat Graham
16:52GOAL (TOR): Bill Derlago (3), assists: Frank Nigro, Pat Graham
‹ vs WSH (Oct 9, 1983)@ BOS (Oct 15, 1983) ›