@ TOR (Oct 11, 1986) ›

October 9, 1986

Winnipeg Arena | Winnipeg

BUF 23 WIN

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WIN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0112
WIN1113
Shots on goal BUF 16, WIN 27W E. ReddickL T. Barrasso
Summary

WIN had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo T. Barrasso .889
WIN E. Reddick .875
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
WIN 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
R. Carlyle goal (P3 12:45), Sabres win chance drops from 49% to 13%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
G. Perreault
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Ramsey
3
SHOTS
T. Barrasso
.889 (24/27)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWIN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 12:45R. Carlyle (1) 49% to 13%-36
  2. P3 10:59C. Ruuttu (1) 15% to 48%+33
  3. P2 14:37D. Smail (1) 48% to 25%-23
  4. P2 02:28G. Perreault (1) 27% to 46%+19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1986–87 regular season (80 games).

Wins (28)Losses (44, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 56% when yes, 14% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 61% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 60% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 46% when yes, 13% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#11 G. Perreault (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#21 C. Ruuttu (C)
1
0
1
+2
0
2
0.9
#25 D. Andreychuk (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
#32 N. Lacombe (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
#6 P. Housley (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.7
#26 P. Russell (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.6
#7 J. Tucker (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#9 S. Arniel (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#12 K. Priestlay (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
#15 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
#17 M. Foligno (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
#18 P. Cyr (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
#27 W. Paiement (RW)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.3
#39 C. Gillies (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#4 J. Korn (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#5 M. Ramsey (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#37 S. Anderson (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
Total
2
4
6
8
16
4.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 T. Barrasso273.8890.260:00L

Team Stats

BUFWIN
16Shots on Goal27
3Power Play Chances4
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
10Penalty Minutes8

Full Game Log

1ST
05:35GOAL (WIN): Brian Mullen (1), assists: Dale Hawerchuk
2ND
02:28GOAL (BUF): Gilbert Perreault (1), assists: Phil Housley, Phil Russell
14:37GOAL (WIN): Doug Smail (1), assists: Thomas Steen, Mario Marois
3RD
10:59GOAL (BUF): Christian Ruuttu (1), assists: Normand Lacombe, Dave Andreychuk
12:45GOAL (WIN): Randy Carlyle (1), assists: Ray Neufeld
@ TOR (Oct 11, 1986) ›