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January 3, 1988

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

QUE 12 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs QUE all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
QUE1001
BUF1102
Shots on goal QUE 28, BUF 36W T. BarrassoL R. Tugnutt
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo T. Barrasso .964
QUE R. Tugnutt .944
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
QUE 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
S. Arniel goal (P2 15:10), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 73%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
S. Arniel
1 (1G)
POINTS
T. Barrasso
.964 (27/28)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFQUE
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 15:10S. Arniel (5) 50% to 73%+23
  2. P1 13:01G. Duchesne (9) 67% to 50%-17
  3. P1 05:57P. Turgeon (10) 50% to 66%+16
  4. P2 12:44Fighting on Shawn Anderson, 5 min 50% to 37%-13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1987–88 regular season (80 games).

Wins (37)Losses (32, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 73% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 76% when yes, 41% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#9 S. Arniel (LW)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
0.7
#15 D. Smith (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
3
0.6
#16 M. Donnelly (LW)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.6
#23 R. Sheppard (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
#25 D. Andreychuk (LW)
0
1
1
+1
2
3
0.8
#77 P. Turgeon (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
#12 K. Priestlay (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#14 M. Andersson (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#17 M. Foligno (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#19 K. Maguire (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#21 C. Ruuttu (C)
0
0
0
0
4
4
0.0
#22 L. Ruff (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#3 C. Johansson (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
#5 M. Ramsey (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
#6 P. Housley (D)
0
0
0
0
4
7
0.2
#24 E. Hospodar (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#37 S. Anderson (D)
0
0
0
+1
5
1
-0.1
#40 U. Krupp (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
5
0.4
Total
2
4
6
25
36
5.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 T. Barrasso281.9642.060:00W

Team Stats

QUEBUF
28Shots on Goal36
4Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
30Penalty Minutes25

Full Game Log

1ST
05:57GOAL (BUF): Pierre Turgeon (10), assists: Ray Sheppard, Mike Donnelly
13:01GOAL (QUE): Gaetan Duchesne (9), assists: Paul Gillis, Robert Picard
2ND
15:10GOAL (BUF): Scott Arniel (5), assists: Dave Andreychuk, Doug Smith
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