Justin Bailey#95

RW with Buffalo, 2015–16 to 2017–18

No. 95Shoots RHeight 6'4"Weight 214 lbsBorn July 1, 1995Hometown Buffalo, NY, USA
On-Ice Impact, 2017–18 5v5
44.0%
xGF% ON ICE
44.1%
CF% ON ICE

On-ice PDO 1.015 (5v5 on-ice shooting plus save percentage). PDO over one season is noisy, it regresses hard toward 1.000, so read it as recent puck luck rather than a skill.

Recent Form
Last 10
Last 20
Points
1 to 4
3Cold
4 
Individual xG
0.12 to 0.29
0.16Steady
0.16 
On-Ice xGF%
30.5% to 44.0%
44.0%Cold
43.8% 
Game Score
0.18 to 0.93
0.18Cold
0.28 

Each line is the metric's rolling 10-game value across the last 20 games, so it ends on the Last 10 figure. The dashed line is the player's season average (50% for On-Ice xGF%), with navy shading for time spent above it and gray for below. Gold ticks mark goal games. Descriptive only, small samples swing.

Playoffs

Career With Buffalo

52 games, 3 seasons
5
G
264th all-time
3
A
366th all-time
8
PTS
324th all-time
8
PIM
401st all-time
10:56
TOI/G

All-time is the rank among the 529 skaters with a regular-season game for Buffalo since 1970–71. Ties share a rank.

Season by Season

Chart:
Drag to zoom

These stats don’t share a natural scale, so each line is normalized to its own 0-100% range for shape comparison. Hover a point for its real value.

023201520162017SeasonGoalsaging curve

The dashed line is a league-typical aging curve for a forward, scaled to this player's own level. Above it means producing more than a typical player that age; the line falling away faster than the curve means declining faster than the aging curve alone would explain.

SeasonAgeGPGAPTS+/-PIMPen +/-/60PPSHGWGSOGS%FO%TOI/GP/60ixGxG/60GAxCF%FF%GF%xG%PDO
2015–16208000-220.00000220.0%0.0%11:360.0046.5%52.7%33.3%0.920
2016–17213222404+1.23001365.6%0.0%10:38
0.71
6th pct
2.9
0.51
17th pct
-0.9
42nd pct
43.1%
11th pct
43.5%52.4%41.5%1.025
2017–182212314-22+0.440001915.8%0.0%11:17
1.77
59th pct
2.0
0.87
69th pct
+1.0
72nd pct
44.1%
16th pct
41.6%45.5%44.0%1.015
Total52538-48001776.5%10:560.84

pct under a P/60, xG/60, GAx and CF% figure is where that season ranks, as a percentile, among every Sabres forward season since 2016–17 with at least 12 games; a season under that floor isn't ranked. xG/60, GAx and CF% come from this site's own xG model and shift-chart reconstruction, not an NHL feed; P/60 is from official NHL totals. Higher is better throughout.

Actual vs Expected

One row per season: the gold dot is the expected total, the navy dot is what actually happened.

xGGoals
012342016–172016–17: 2.9 xG2016–17: 2 Goals (-0.9 vs expected)2 / 2.92017–182017–18: 2.0 xG2017–18: 3 Goals (+1.0 vs expected)3 / 2.0

Shot Map

Every shot attempt across every season shown here, to scale, always attacking right. Pick one season to see that year alone, or leave it on Career for the full picture.

xG range
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot