Casey Nelson#8
D with Buffalo, 2015–16 to 2018–19
On-ice PDO 0.994 (5v5 on-ice shooting plus save percentage). PDO over one season is noisy, it regresses hard toward 1.000, so read it as recent puck luck rather than a skill.
Each line is the metric's rolling 10-game value across the last 20 games, so it ends on the Last 10 figure. The dashed line is the player's season average (50% for On-Ice xGF%), with navy shading for time spent above it and gray for below. Gold ticks mark goal games. Descriptive only, small samples swing.
Career With Buffalo
All-time is the rank among the 529 skaters with a regular-season game for Buffalo since 1970–71. Ties share a rank.
Season by Season
The dashed line is a league-typical aging curve for a defenseman, scaled to this player's own level. Above it means producing more than a typical player that age; the line falling away faster than the curve means declining faster than the aging curve alone would explain.
| Season ▴ | Age | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | Pen +/-/60 | PP | SH | GWG | SOG | S% | FO% | TOI/G | P/60 | ixG | xG/60 | GAx | CF% | FF% | GF% | xG% | PDO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015–16 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 8 | -2.31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14:49 | 2.31 | – | – | – | 54.3% | 54.3% | 55.6% | – | 0.979 |
| 2016–17 | 24 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | -0.87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12:36 | 0.00 | 0.2 | 0.08 | -0.2 | 52.7% | 50.3% | 37.5% | 45.7% | 0.969 |
| 2017–18 | 25 | 37 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -14 | 8 | -0.09 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 48 | 6.3% | 0.0% | 18:47 | 0.69 36th pct | 2.2 | 0.19 56th pct | +0.8 80th pct | 48.2% 34th pct | 46.8% | 34.6% | 44.3% | 0.952 |
| 2018–19 | 26 | 38 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +1 | 13 | -0.31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 2.7% | 0.0% | 15:25 | 0.61 27th pct | 1.2 | 0.13 24th pct | -0.2 56th pct | 52.4% 94th pct | 52.6% | 50.0% | 46.4% | 0.994 |
| Total | 93 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -15 | 33 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 4.0% | – | 16:22 | 0.71 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
pct under a P/60, xG/60, GAx and CF% figure is where that season ranks, as a percentile, among every Sabres defenseman season since 2016–17 with at least 12 games; a season under that floor isn't ranked. xG/60, GAx and CF% come from this site's own xG model and shift-chart reconstruction, not an NHL feed; P/60 is from official NHL totals. Higher is better throughout.