October 8, 1972

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

AFM 3 – 5 BUF

FINAL

	1ST	2ND	3RD	T
AFM	1	2	0	3
BUF	2	1	2	5

Shots on goal AFM 27, BUF 36W R. CrozierL D. Bouchard

Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-3.

IN NET: Buffalo R. Crozier .889
AFM D. Bouchard .861
TURNING POINT: R. Robert goal (P3 0:29), Sabres win chance rises from 52% to 78%
WIN DNA: 3 of 4 winning traits

Game Leaders

J. Lorentz

3 (2G-1A)

POINTS

R. Robert

SHOTS

R. Crozier

.889 (24/27)

SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00

BIGGEST SWINGS

P3 00:29R. Robert (1) 52% to 78%+26
P2 19:14K. McCreary (1) 78% to 52%-26
P2 07:04C. Ramsay (1) 52% to 74%+22
P1 13:24J. Lorentz (1) 34% to 53%+19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1972–73 regular season (78 games).

Wins (37)Losses (27)This game

Yes

3+ different scorers

Sabres win 87% when yes, 15% when no

Yes

Defensemen combined for 3+ points

too few games to split

Scored first

Sabres win 82% when yes, 32% when no

Yes

Depth forward scored

too few games to split

Box Score

Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	Game Score
Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	GS
#8 J. Lorentz (C)	2	1	3	+1	0	4	2.4
#11 G. Perreault (C)	1	1	2	+1	2	4	1.6
#14 R. Robert (RW)	1	1	2	+1	0	6	1.8
#2 T. Horton (D)	0	2	2	+2	2	3	1.3
#7 R. Martin (LW)	0	1	1	+1	0	1	0.6
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)	1	0	1	+1	0	2	0.9
#19 S. Atkinson (RW)	0	1	1	0	0	2	0.9
#5 L. Hillman (D)	0	1	1	0	2	1	0.6
#12 L. Mickey (RW)	0	0	0	+1	7	2	-0.1
#15 G. Meehan (C)	0	0	0	0	2	3	0.1
#16 R. Wyrozub (C)	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.2
#17 R. Dudley (LW)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#20 D. Luce (C)	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.2
#3 L. Carriere (D)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#4 T. Pratt (D)	0	0	0	0	2	2	0.0
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)	0	0	0	+2	2	1	-0.1
#18 P. Terbenche (D)	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.1
Total	5	8	13		19	36	10.3

Goalie	SA	GA	xGA	SV%	GSAx	GS	TOI ▾	Dec
#1 R. Crozier	27	3	–	.889	–	0.2	60:00	W

Team Stats

AFMBUF

27Shots on Goal36

2PPG2

19Penalty Minutes19

Full Game Log

1ST

12:38GOAL (AFM): Bobby Leiter (2), assists: Lew Morrison, Keith McCreary

13:24GOAL (BUF): Jim Lorentz (1), unassisted

18:33GOAL (BUF): Jim Lorentz (2), assists: Steve Atkinson, Rick Martin

2ND

00:26GOAL (AFM): Billy MacMillan (1), assists: Jacques Richard, Ernie Hicke

07:04GOAL (BUF): Craig Ramsay (1), assists: Tim Horton, Jim Lorentz

19:14GOAL (AFM): Keith McCreary (1), assists: Lew Morrison, Randy Manery

3RD

00:29GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (1), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Tim Horton

06:58GOAL (BUF): Gilbert Perreault (1), assists: Larry Hillman, Rene Robert

vs LAK (Oct 11, 1972) ›