vs LAK (Oct 11, 1972)vs TOR (Oct 15, 1972) ›

October 14, 1972

Omni Coliseum | Atlanta

BUF 11 AFM

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs AFM all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1001
AFM1001
Shots on goal BUF 31, AFM 17
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and tied 1-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Crozier .941
AFM L. Myre .968
TURNING POINT
J. Lorentz goal (P1 15:58), Sabres win chance rises from 34% to 51%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Lorentz
1 (1G)
POINTS
L. Mickey
4
SHOTS
R. Crozier
.941 (16/17)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFAFM
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 15:58J. Lorentz (3) 34% to 51%+17
  2. P1 02:03E. Hicke (1) 50% to 34%-16
  3. P2 18:01Fighting on Bob Paradise, 5 min 51% to 64%+13
  4. P2 18:01Fighting on Rene Robert, 5 min 64% to 51%-13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1972–73 regular season (78 games).

Wins (37)Losses (27)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 15% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
No
Scored first
Sabres win 82% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
#5 L. Hillman (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#12 L. Mickey (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
0
7
3
-0.1
#15 G. Meehan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#16 R. Wyrozub (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#17 R. Dudley (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#19 S. Atkinson (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#2 T. Horton (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#4 T. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#18 P. Terbenche (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#23 L. Carriere (D)
0
0
0
0
7
0
-0.3
Total
1
2
3
16
31
3.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 R. Crozier171.9410.960:00T

Team Stats

BUFAFM
31Shots on Goal17
1PPG1
16Penalty Minutes16

Full Game Log

1ST
02:03GOAL (AFM): Ernie Hicke (1), assists: Noel Price, Rey Comeau
15:58GOAL (BUF): Jim Lorentz (3), assists: Larry Hillman, Gilbert Perreault
vs LAK (Oct 11, 1972)vs TOR (Oct 15, 1972) ›