vs PIT (Feb 25, 1973)vs MTL (Mar 4, 1973) ›

March 1, 1973

Omni Coliseum | Atlanta

BUF 44 AFM

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs AFM all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0224
AFM2204
Shots on goal BUF 27, AFM 25
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo tied 4-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Crozier .840
AFM D. Bouchard .852
TURNING POINT
L. Mickey goal (P3 6:41), Sabres win chance rises from 21% to 54%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
L. Mickey
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
R. Crozier
.840 (21/25)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 57%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFAFM
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 06:41L. Mickey (11) 21% to 54%+33
  2. P1 05:35R. Comeau (19) 56% to 39%-17
  3. P3 04:56R. Martin (33) 7% to 23%+16
  4. P1 10:39L. Romanchych (16) 37% to 22%-15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1972–73 regular season (78 games).

Wins (37)Losses (27)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 15% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
No
Scored first
Sabres win 82% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#12 L. Mickey (RW)
1
1
2
+2
2
1
1.4
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
1
0
1
-2
0
3
1.0
#9 R. Martin (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
0
0
5
0.9
#14 N. Gratton (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
0
1
+2
2
4
0.9
#4 T. Pratt (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
0
0.4
#7 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#15 G. Meehan (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
#16 R. Wyrozub (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#19 S. Atkinson (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#21 H. Harris (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
3
0.1
#2 T. Horton (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#3 M. Robitaille (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#5 L. Hillman (D)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
#18 P. Terbenche (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
Total
4
5
9
12
27
7.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 R. Crozier254.840-0.960:00T

Team Stats

BUFAFM
27Shots on Goal25
1PPG1
12Penalty Minutes10

Full Game Log

1ST
05:35GOAL (AFM): Rey Comeau (19), assists: Randy Manery, John Stewart
10:39GOAL (AFM): Larry Romanchych (16), assists: Bobby Leiter, Billy MacMillan
2ND
02:05GOAL (AFM): Bobby Leiter (24), assists: Larry Romanchych, Bill Plager
03:48GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (15), assists: Larry Mickey
07:39GOAL (AFM): Curt Bennett (13), assists: Jacques Richard, Bob Paradise
10:18GOAL (BUF): Jim Lorentz (24), assists: Norm Gratton, Gilbert Perreault
3RD
04:56GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (33), unassisted
06:41GOAL (BUF): Larry Mickey (11), assists: Craig Ramsay, Tracy Pratt
vs PIT (Feb 25, 1973)vs MTL (Mar 4, 1973) ›