@ MNS (Oct 13, 1973) ›

October 10, 1973

Maple Leaf Gardens | Toronto

BUF 47 TOR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1214
TOR3317
Shots on goal BUF 25, TOR 37W E. JohnstonL G. Bromley
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations and won 7-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Crozier .800
Buffalo G. Bromley .813
TOR E. Johnston .840
TURNING POINT
R. Robert goal (P1 9:29), Sabres win chance rises from 29% to 47%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Martin
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
R. Martin
6
SHOTS
G. Bromley
.813 (26/32)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 09:29R. Robert (1) 29% to 47%+18
  2. P1 13:04D. Keon (1) 45% to 29%-16
  3. P1 01:17J. McKenny (1) 47% to 30%-17
  4. P2 07:03R. Martin (1) 13% to 27%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1973–74 regular season (78 games).

Wins (32)Losses (34)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 71% when yes, 25% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 80% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 60% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#7 R. Martin (LW)
2
1
3
-1
0
6
2.5
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
2
2
-2
0
3
1.5
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
#14 R. Robert (RW)
1
0
1
-1
0
5
1.1
#15 G. Meehan (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
#19 S. Atkinson (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
#5 L. Carriere (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.6
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
1
1
0
6
0
0.3
#9 N. Gratton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
#17 R. Dudley (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#23 J. Noris (C)
0
0
0
-3
0
2
0.2
#2 T. Horton (D)
0
0
0
-2
4
0
-0.3
#3 M. Robitaille (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#4 T. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
#18 P. Terbenche (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
4
7
11
12
25
8.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#24 G. Bromley326.813-1.940:00L
#1 R. Crozier51.800-0.320:00

Team Stats

BUFTOR
25Shots on Goal37
1PPG1
14Penalty Minutes16

Full Game Log

1ST
01:17GOAL (TOR): Jim McKenny (1), assists: Norm Ullman, Paul Henderson
09:29GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (1), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Rick Martin
13:04GOAL (TOR): Dave Keon (1), assists: Lanny McDonald, Errol Thompson
14:10GOAL (TOR): Rick Kehoe (1), assists: Garry Monahan
2ND
02:37GOAL (BUF): Steve Atkinson (1), assists: Gerry Meehan
03:49GOAL (TOR): Dave Keon (2), assists: Lanny McDonald, Errol Thompson
07:03GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (1), assists: Jim Lorentz, Gilbert Perreault
09:31GOAL (TOR): Rick Kehoe (2), assists: Brian Glennie, Darryl Sittler
11:58GOAL (TOR): Darryl Sittler (1), assists: Borje Salming
3RD
10:36GOAL (TOR): Norm Ullman (1), assists: Jim McKenny, Brian Glennie
12:33GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (2), assists: Jim Schoenfeld, Larry Carriere
@ MNS (Oct 13, 1973) ›