vs DET (Feb 11, 1976)vs NYI (Feb 15, 1976) ›

February 13, 1976

Omni Coliseum | Atlanta

BUF 32 AFM

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs AFM all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0033
AFM1102
Shots on goal BUF 25, AFM 35W A. SmithL D. Bouchard
Summary

AFM had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo A. Smith .943
AFM D. Bouchard .880
TURNING POINT
J. Richard goal (P3 9:06), Sabres win chance rises from 52% to 84%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Ramsay
2 (2A)
POINTS
A. Smith
.943 (33/35)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFAFM
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 09:06J. Richard (11) 52% to 84%+32
  2. P3 06:11B. Hajt (3) 21% to 52%+31
  3. P1 11:09H. Graves (15) 54% to 35%-19
  4. P2 11:42L. Romanchych (11) 29% to 13%-16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1975–76 regular season (80 games).

Wins (46)Losses (21)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 12% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 62% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 83% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 31% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
2
2
+2
0
1
1.5
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
2
2
+1
2
3
1.2
#9 J. Richard (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
#24 W. Hajt (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
-2
2
3
0.1
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#12 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#16 P. McNab (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
#21 B. Spencer (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#3 P. McIntosh (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
Total
3
6
9
6
25
7.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#31 A. Smith352.9431.860:00W

Team Stats

BUFAFM
25Shots on Goal35
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes6

Full Game Log

1ST
11:09GOAL (AFM): Hilliard Graves (15), assists: Tom Lysiak
2ND
11:42GOAL (AFM): Larry Romanchych (11), assists: Claude St. Sauveur
3RD
04:32GOAL (BUF): Jocelyn Guevremont (9), assists: Craig Ramsay, Don Luce
06:11GOAL (BUF): Bill Hajt (3), assists: Rene Robert, Gilbert Perreault
09:06GOAL (BUF): Jacques Richard (11), assists: Craig Ramsay, Don Luce
vs DET (Feb 11, 1976)vs NYI (Feb 15, 1976) ›