vs AFM (Feb 19, 1976)vs MTL (Feb 22, 1976) ›

February 21, 1976

Maple Leaf Gardens | Toronto

BUF 46 TOR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1124
TOR2226
Shots on goal BUF 28, TOR 35W W. ThomasL A. Smith
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-4.

IN NET
Buffalo A. Smith .853
TOR W. Thomas .857
TURNING POINT
I. Hammarstrom goal (P3 8:54), Sabres win chance drops from 53% to 19%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Gare
2 (2G)
POINTS
R. Robert
4
SHOTS
A. Smith
.853 (29/34)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 08:54I. Hammarstrom (17) 53% to 19%-34
  2. P3 05:34P. McNab (22) 22% to 53%+31
  3. P2 15:18I. Hammarstrom (16) 54% to 29%-25
  4. P2 11:58D. Gare (36) 31% to 55%+24

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1975–76 regular season (80 games).

Wins (46)Losses (21)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 12% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 62% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 83% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 31% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#18 D. Gare (RW)
2
0
2
0
0
4
1.8
#7 R. Martin (LW)
1
0
1
-1
2
3
0.8
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.9
#16 P. McNab (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.7
#21 B. Spencer (LW)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.7
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
#12 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.3
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
#3 P. McIntosh (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.1
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
0
-0.1
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
4
4
8
10
28
7.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#31 A. Smith345.853-0.859:28L

Team Stats

BUFTOR
28Shots on Goal35
1PPG1
10Penalty Minutes10

Full Game Log

1ST
01:46GOAL (TOR): Jack Valiquette (8), assists: Dave Williams, Rod Seiling
03:38GOAL (TOR): Errol Thompson (30), assists: Lanny McDonald, Darryl Sittler
12:01GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (35), assists: Craig Ramsay, Lee Fogolin
2ND
11:58GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (36), assists: Don Luce
15:18GOAL (TOR): Inge Hammarstrom (16), assists: Stan Weir, Borje Salming
18:25GOAL (TOR): Lanny McDonald (28), assists: Ian Turnbull, Borje Salming
3RD
00:45GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (36), unassisted
05:34GOAL (BUF): Peter McNab (22), assists: Brian Spencer
08:54GOAL (TOR): Inge Hammarstrom (17), assists: Stan Weir, Brian Glennie
19:40GOAL (TOR): Errol Thompson (31), assists: Darryl Sittler, Lanny McDonald
vs AFM (Feb 19, 1976)vs MTL (Feb 22, 1976) ›