@ PIT (Mar 10, 1976)@ MNS (Mar 14, 1976) ›

March 11, 1976

Spectrum | Philadelphia

BUF 16 PHI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1001
PHI2316
Shots on goal BUF 30, PHI 38W W. StephensonL A. Smith
Summary

PHI had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-1.

IN NET
Buffalo A. Smith .842
PHI W. Stephenson .967
TURNING POINT
R. Leach goal (P1 10:17), Sabres win chance drops from 42% to 25%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Martin
1 (1G)
POINTS
R. Robert
8
SHOTS
A. Smith
.842 (32/38)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 41%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 10:17R. Leach (49) 42% to 25%-17
  2. P1 06:12G. Dornhoefer (27) 41% to 25%-16
  3. P1 09:43R. Martin (42) 27% to 42%+15
  4. P2 09:58M. Bridgman (21) 22% to 9%-13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1975–76 regular season (80 games).

Wins (46)Losses (21)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 12% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 62% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 83% when yes, 35% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 31% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#7 R. Martin (LW)
1
0
1
-1
0
3
1.0
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
1
1
-2
0
1
0.6
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
-1
2
0
0.5
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
-2
2
8
0.5
#16 P. McNab (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
0
0
0
9
3
-0.2
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
6
0.5
#21 B. Spencer (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
#3 P. McIntosh (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
-1
7
2
-0.1
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
-3
2
2
0.0
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
3
0.1
Total
1
2
3
24
30
2.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#31 A. Smith386.842-1.360:00L

Team Stats

BUFPHI
30Shots on Goal38
1PPG1
24Penalty Minutes30

Full Game Log

1ST
06:12GOAL (PHI): Gary Dornhoefer (27), assists: Bobby Clarke, Andre Dupont
09:43GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (42), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Jim Lorentz
10:17GOAL (PHI): Reggie Leach (49), assists: Bob Kelly
2ND
09:58GOAL (PHI): Mel Bridgman (21), assists: Gary Dornhoefer, Dave Schultz
15:59GOAL (PHI): Orest Kindrachuk (23), unassisted
17:34GOAL (PHI): Terry Crisp (3), unassisted
3RD
15:10GOAL (PHI): Bill Barber (41), assists: Bobby Clarke, Joe Watson
@ PIT (Mar 10, 1976)@ MNS (Mar 14, 1976) ›