@ MNS (Mar 14, 1976)@ CGS (Mar 17, 1976) ›

March 16, 1976

The Forum | Inglewood

BUF 42 LAK

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs LAK all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1214
LAK1012
Shots on goal BUF 28, LAK 22W A. SmithL R. Vachon
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo A. Smith .909
LAK R. Vachon .857
TURNING POINT
R. Martin goal (P2 11:36), Sabres win chance rises from 55% to 77%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
G. Perreault
2 (2A)
POINTS
D. Gare
5
SHOTS
A. Smith
.909 (20/22)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFLAK
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 11:36R. Martin (43) 55% to 77%+22
  2. P1 19:11B. Goring (28) 75% to 57%-18
  3. P1 14:59J. Lorentz (13) 57% to 74%+17
  4. P2 13:22D. Gare (42) 78% to 92%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1975–76 regular season (80 games).

Wins (46)Losses (21)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 12% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 62% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 83% when yes, 35% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 31% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
2
2
0
0
2
1.5
#7 R. Martin (LW)
1
0
1
0
2
4
0.9
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
2
0.9
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
0
1
+1
4
5
1.0
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.6
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#16 P. McNab (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#21 B. Spencer (LW)
0
0
0
0
19
1
-0.5
#3 P. McIntosh (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.2
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
Total
4
6
10
27
28
7.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#31 A. Smith222.9090.560:00W

Team Stats

BUFLAK
28Shots on Goal22
1PPG0
27Penalty Minutes27

Full Game Log

1ST
14:59GOAL (BUF): Jim Lorentz (13), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Bill Hajt
19:11GOAL (LAK): Butch Goring (28), assists: Bob Nevin
2ND
11:36GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (43), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Rene Robert
13:22GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (42), assists: Craig Ramsay, Jocelyn Guevremont
3RD
10:32GOAL (LAK): Ab DeMarco (6), assists: Don Kozak, Vic Venasky
14:05GOAL (BUF): Fred Stanfield (17), unassisted
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