‹ vs NYR (Mar 24, 1976)@ TOR (Mar 27, 1976) ›

March 26, 1976

Capital Centre | Landover

BUF 4 – 1 WSH

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0134
WSH0011
Shots on goal BUF 43, WSH 20W A. SmithL B. Wolfe
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo A. Smith .950
WSH B. Wolfe .907
TURNING POINT
J. Lorentz goal (P3 5:28), Sabres win chance rises from 64% to 88%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Luce
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Luce
7
SHOTS
A. Smith
.950 (19/20)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 74%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 05:28J. Lorentz (16) 64% to 88%+24
  2. P3 00:31R. Lalonde (9) 87% to 65%-22
  3. P2 17:49D. Luce (20) 66% to 87%+21
  4. P3 09:28B. Hajt (5) 90% to 98%+8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1975–76 regular season (80 games).

Wins (46)Losses (21)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 12% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 62% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 83% when yes, 35% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 31% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
1
2
+2
4
7
1.7
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
1
0
1
+2
0
6
1.2
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
0.7
#16 P. McNab (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
0
1
+2
0
5
1.1
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
#24 W. Hajt (D)
1
0
1
+2
2
3
0.8
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.4
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
#21 B. Spencer (LW)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.0
#3 P. McIntosh (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
5
0.4
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
2
0.0
Total
4
5
9
14
43
8.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#31 A. Smith201–.950–1.260:00W

Team Stats

BUFWSH
43Shots on Goal20
0PPG0
14Penalty Minutes8

Full Game Log

2ND
17:49GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (20), assists: Jerry Korab, Craig Ramsay
3RD
00:31GOAL (WSH): Ron Lalonde (9), assists: Blair Stewart
05:28GOAL (BUF): Jim Lorentz (16), assists: Fred Stanfield
09:28GOAL (BUF): Bill Hajt (5), assists: Peter McNab
12:34GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (45), assists: Don Luce
‹ vs NYR (Mar 24, 1976)@ TOR (Mar 27, 1976) ›