‹ @ MNS (Oct 16, 1976)vs VAN (Oct 20, 1976) ›

October 17, 1976

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

AFM 6 – 5 BUF

FINAL

	1ST	2ND	3RD	T
AFM	3	3	0	6
BUF	1	4	0	5

Shots on goal AFM 16, BUF 46W D. BouchardL R. Sauve

Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 5-6.

IN NET: Buffalo R. Sauve .750
Buffalo A. Smith .250
AFM D. Bouchard .891
TURNING POINT: B. Flett goal (P1 3:24), Sabres win chance drops from 53% to 36%
WIN DNA: 3 of 4 winning traits

Game Leaders

J. Lorentz

2 (2G)

POINTS

R. Robert

SHOTS

R. Sauve

.750 (9/12)

SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00

BIGGEST SWINGS

P1 03:24B. Flett (2) 53% to 36%-17
P2 19:29J. Richard (1) 9% to 25%+16
P1 15:46J. Lorentz (1) 18% to 33%+15
P1 16:22C. Bennett (5) 33% to 18%-15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1976–77 regular season (80 games).

Wins (48)Losses (24)This game

Yes

3+ different scorers

Sabres win 88% when yes, 22% when no

Yes

Defensemen combined for 3+ points

Sabres win 84% when yes, 57% when no

Scored first

Sabres win 85% when yes, 44% when no

Yes

Depth forward scored

too few games to split

Box Score

Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	Game Score
Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	GS
#7 R. Martin (LW)	0	2	2	-1	0	3	1.5
#8 J. Lorentz (C)	2	0	2	+2	2	4	1.7
#9 J. Richard (LW)	1	0	1	+1	2	3	0.8
#11 G. Perreault (C)	1	0	1	-2	2	3	0.8
#12 A. Savard (C)	1	0	1	+2	0	4	1.1
#20 D. Luce (C)	0	1	1	+1	0	5	1.1
#21 B. Spencer (LW)	0	1	1	+1	2	1	0.5
#4 G. Korab (D)	0	1	1	-1	4	3	0.5
#5 L. Fogolin (D)	0	1	1	+3	0	2	0.9
#24 W. Hajt (D)	0	1	1	+2	0	2	0.9
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.2
#14 R. Robert (RW)	0	0	0	-2	0	5	0.4
#15 G. McAdam (RW)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)	0	0	0	-1	0	0	0.0
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)	0	0	0	+1	2	3	0.1
#22 J. Guevremont (D)	0	0	0	-1	0	4	0.3
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)	0	0	0	-1	0	1	0.1
Total	5	7	12		14	46	10.6

Goalie	SA	GA	xGA	SV%	GSAx	GS	TOI ▾	Dec
#28 R. Sauve	12	3	–	.750	–	-1.3	42:54	L
#31 A. Smith	4	3	–	.250	–	-2.1	16:22	–

Team Stats

AFMBUF

16Shots on Goal46

2PPG0

12Penalty Minutes14

Full Game Log

1ST

03:24GOAL (AFM): Bill Flett (2), assists: Randy Manery, Bobby Simpson

06:22GOAL (AFM): Curt Bennett (4), unassisted

15:46GOAL (BUF): Jim Lorentz (1), assists: Lee Fogolin

16:22GOAL (AFM): Curt Bennett (5), assists: Guy Chouinard

2ND

00:22GOAL (AFM): Bill Clement (2), assists: Tim Ecclestone

03:52GOAL (BUF): Jim Lorentz (2), unassisted

04:56GOAL (AFM): Bill Flett (3), assists: Tim Ecclestone, Barry Gibbs

07:50GOAL (BUF): Andre Savard (1), assists: Bill Hajt, Brian Spencer

10:20GOAL (AFM): Randy Manery (1), assists: Hilliard Graves, Eric Vail

18:31GOAL (BUF): Gilbert Perreault (1), assists: Rick Martin, Jerry Korab

19:29GOAL (BUF): Jacques Richard (1), assists: Don Luce, Rick Martin

‹ @ MNS (Oct 16, 1976)vs VAN (Oct 20, 1976) ›