@ PHI (Oct 23, 1976)vs PIT (Oct 27, 1976) ›

October 24, 1976

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

WSH 12 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH0011
BUF1102
Shots on goal WSH 34, BUF 35W G. DesjardinsL R. Low
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo G. Desjardins .971
WSH R. Low .943
WSH B. Wolfe –
TURNING POINT
J. Lorentz goal (P1 5:32), Sabres win chance rises from 58% to 75%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Lorentz
1 (1G)
POINTS
A. Savard
5
SHOTS
G. Desjardins
.971 (33/34)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 05:32J. Lorentz (4) 58% to 75%+17
  2. P2 14:01F. Stanfield (1) 79% to 92%+13
  3. P3 02:32B. Stewart (2) 95% to 82%-13
  4. P3 10:24Tripping on Rene Robert, 2 min 87% to 82%-5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1976–77 regular season (80 games).

Wins (48)Losses (24)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 57% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 44% when no
No
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
5
1.1
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
1
1
0
0
4
0.9
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
0
4
5
0.1
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
#21 B. Spencer (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
Total
2
3
5
10
35
5.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 G. Desjardins341.9712.660:00W

Team Stats

WSHBUF
34Shots on Goal35
0PPG0
8Penalty Minutes10

Full Game Log

1ST
05:32GOAL (BUF): Jim Lorentz (4), assists: Andre Savard, Jocelyn Guevremont
2ND
14:01GOAL (BUF): Fred Stanfield (1), assists: Jerry Korab
3RD
02:32GOAL (WSH): Blair Stewart (2), assists: Rick Bragnalo, Tony White
@ PHI (Oct 23, 1976)vs PIT (Oct 27, 1976) ›