vs PIT (Oct 27, 1976)@ MTL (Nov 1, 1976) ›

October 31, 1976

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

BOS 14 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS0101
BUF1124
Shots on goal BOS 21, BUF 30W G. DesjardinsL G. Gilbert
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo G. Desjardins .952
BOS G. Gilbert .867
TURNING POINT
J. Guevremont goal (P1 4:11), Sabres win chance rises from 49% to 67%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Guevremont
2 (2G)
POINTS
R. Martin
6
SHOTS
G. Desjardins
.952 (20/21)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 04:11J. Guevremont (1) 49% to 67%+18
  2. P2 14:45L. Fogolin (1) 74% to 90%+16
  3. P2 15:02G. Doak (1) 90% to 74%-16
  4. P3 02:26A. Savard (2) 78% to 93%+15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1976–77 regular season (80 games).

Wins (48)Losses (24)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 57% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 44% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
2
1.3
#12 A. Savard (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
3
1.7
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
2
0
2
+3
2
4
1.7
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
#21 B. Spencer (LW)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.5
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
1
1
+2
4
3
0.5
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
1
0
1
+1
4
3
0.7
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
1
1
+2
4
1
0.5
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
6
0.5
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
4
8
12
18
30
8.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 G. Desjardins211.9521.360:00W

Team Stats

BOSBUF
21Shots on Goal30
0PPG0
12Penalty Minutes18

Full Game Log

1ST
04:11GOAL (BUF): Jocelyn Guevremont (1), assists: Andre Savard, Jim Lorentz
2ND
14:45GOAL (BUF): Lee Fogolin (1), assists: Bill Hajt, Craig Ramsay
15:02GOAL (BOS): Gary Doak (1), assists: Stan Jonathan, Ray Maluta
3RD
02:26GOAL (BUF): Andre Savard (2), assists: Brian Spencer, Jim Lorentz
12:31GOAL (BUF): Jocelyn Guevremont (2), assists: Rene Robert, Jerry Korab
vs PIT (Oct 27, 1976)@ MTL (Nov 1, 1976) ›