‹ @ WSH (Nov 5, 1976)vs STL (Nov 10, 1976) ›

November 7, 1976

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

PHI 3 – 5 BUF

FINAL

	1ST	2ND	3RD	T
PHI	0	1	2	3
BUF	1	1	3	5

Shots on goal PHI 28, BUF 35W G. DesjardinsL B. Parent

Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-3.

IN NET: Buffalo G. Desjardins .893
PHI B. Parent .857
TURNING POINT: A. Savard goal (P3 3:43), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 80%
WIN DNA: 3 of 4 winning traits

Game Leaders

D. Luce

2 (2G)

POINTS

R. Martin

SHOTS

G. Desjardins

.893 (25/28)

SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00

BIGGEST SWINGS

P3 03:43A. Savard (3) 51% to 80%+29
P3 02:24R. MacLeish (11) 79% to 51%-28
P1 16:39D. Luce (3) 52% to 71%+19
P2 12:29J. Lorentz (6) 75% to 90%+15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1976–77 regular season (80 games).

Wins (48)Losses (24)This game

Yes

3+ different scorers

Sabres win 88% when yes, 22% when no

Defensemen combined for 3+ points

Sabres win 84% when yes, 57% when no

Yes

Scored first

Sabres win 85% when yes, 44% when no

Yes

Depth forward scored

too few games to split

Box Score

Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	Game Score
Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	GS
#12 A. Savard (C)	1	1	2	+2	0	5	1.7
#20 D. Luce (C)	2	0	2	0	0	4	1.8
#7 R. Martin (LW)	0	1	1	0	0	6	1.0
#8 J. Lorentz (C)	1	0	1	+1	0	2	0.9
#11 G. Perreault (C)	1	0	1	0	0	3	1.0
#14 R. Robert (RW)	0	1	1	+1	0	1	0.8
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)	0	1	1	0	0	2	0.7
#21 B. Spencer (LW)	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.8
#22 J. Guevremont (D)	0	1	1	+2	0	4	1.0
#9 J. Richard (LW)	0	0	0	+2	4	2	0.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#15 G. McAdam (RW)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#27 J. Kowal (LW)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#4 G. Korab (D)	0	0	0	0	4	1	-0.2
#5 L. Fogolin (D)	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.2
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#24 W. Hajt (D)	0	0	0	+2	0	1	0.1
Total	5	6	11		8	35	9.7

Goalie	SA	GA	xGA	SV%	GSAx	GS	TOI ▾	Dec
#30 G. Desjardins	28	3	–	.893	–	0.3	60:00	W

Team Stats

PHIBUF

28Shots on Goal35

1PPG1

9Penalty Minutes8

Full Game Log

1ST

16:39GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (3), assists: Rene Robert, Fred Stanfield

2ND

12:29GOAL (BUF): Jim Lorentz (6), assists: Brian Spencer, Andre Savard

19:18GOAL (PHI): Bob Kelly (5), assists: Joe Watson, Paul Holmgren

3RD

02:24GOAL (PHI): Rick MacLeish (11), assists: Gary Dornhoefer, Ross Lonsberry

03:43GOAL (BUF): Andre Savard (3), unassisted

05:27GOAL (BUF): Gilbert Perreault (6), assists: Jocelyn Guevremont, Rick Martin

09:51GOAL (PHI): Reggie Leach (4), assists: Bobby Clarke, Larry Goodenough

19:09GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (4), unassisted

‹ @ WSH (Nov 5, 1976)vs STL (Nov 10, 1976) ›