@ WSH (Mar 20, 1977)vs CLE (Mar 23, 1977) ›

March 22, 1977

Omni Coliseum | Atlanta

BUF 63 AFM

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs AFM all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF3216
AFM1113
Shots on goal BUF 22, AFM 34W R. SauveL D. Bouchard
Summary

AFM had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 6-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Sauve .912
AFM D. Bouchard .727
TURNING POINT
D. Luce goal (P1 10:38), Sabres win chance rises from 56% to 74%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
G. McAdam
4 (2G-2A)
POINTS
G. McAdam
4
SHOTS
R. Sauve
.912 (31/34)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 57%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFAFM
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 10:38D. Luce (21) 56% to 74%+18
  2. P1 04:29B. Simpson (13) 73% to 57%-16
  3. P1 03:54R. Martin (34) 57% to 73%+16
  4. P2 14:35T. Lysiak (26) 92% to 78%-14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1976–77 regular season (80 games).

Wins (48)Losses (24)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 57% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 44% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
4
4
+3
0
1
2.7
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
2
2
4
+2
0
4
2.9
#7 R. Martin (LW)
2
1
3
+3
0
3
2.4
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
#11 G. Perreault (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#21 B. Spencer (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
+3
2
2
0.0
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.0
Total
6
10
16
2
22
12.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#28 R. Sauve343.9120.960:00W

Team Stats

BUFAFM
22Shots on Goal34
1PPG0
2Penalty Minutes6

Full Game Log

1ST
03:54GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (34), assists: Andre Savard, Gary McAdam
04:29GOAL (AFM): Bobby Simpson (13), assists: Rey Comeau, John Gould
10:38GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (21), assists: Craig Ramsay, Jim Lorentz
16:07GOAL (BUF): Gary McAdam (11), assists: Andre Savard
2ND
14:35GOAL (AFM): Tom Lysiak (26), assists: Eric Vail, Willi Plett
15:34GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (35), assists: Andre Savard, Gary McAdam
16:23GOAL (BUF): Gilbert Perreault (38), assists: Terry Martin
3RD
09:42GOAL (BUF): Gary McAdam (12), assists: Rick Martin, Andre Savard
11:28GOAL (AFM): Richard Mulhern (12), assists: Bobby Simpson, Guy Chouinard
@ WSH (Mar 20, 1977)vs CLE (Mar 23, 1977) ›