@ NYI (Oct 29, 1977)@ BOS (Nov 3, 1977) ›

October 30, 1977

Montreal Forum | Montreal

BUF 40 MTL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1304
MTL0000
Shots on goal BUF 29, MTL 34W D. EdwardsL M. Larocque
Summary

MTL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-0.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards 1.000
MTL M. Larocque .862
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 2
MTL 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
R. Seiling goal (P1 16:06), Sabres win chance rises from 43% to 63%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Robert
2 (2G)
POINTS
R. Robert
7
SHOTS
D. Edwards
1.000 (34/34)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 42%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 16:06R. Seiling (1) 43% to 63%+20
  2. P2 10:40R. Robert (3) 68% to 85%+17
  3. P2 17:42G. McAdam (1) 89% to 97%+8
  4. P2 05:17Slashing on Rene Robert, 2 min 66% to 61%-5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
2
2
+1
0
4
1.6
#14 R. Robert (RW)
2
0
2
+1
4
7
1.7
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
1
1
2
+2
2
3
1.5
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.4
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
7
0.5
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
Total
4
7
11
8
29
9.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards3401.0003.460:00W

Team Stats

BUFMTL
29Shots on Goal34
2Power Play Chances3
50%PP%0%
100%PK%50%
1PPG0
8Penalty Minutes6

Full Game Log

1ST
16:06GOAL (BUF): Ric Seiling (1), assists: Gary McAdam, Andre Savard
2ND
10:40GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (3), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Rick Martin
17:42GOAL (BUF): Gary McAdam (1), assists: Don Luce
19:52GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (4), assists: Rick Martin, Fred Stanfield
@ NYI (Oct 29, 1977)@ BOS (Nov 3, 1977) ›