@ AFM (Nov 16, 1977)@ WSH (Nov 19, 1977) ›

November 17, 1977

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

TOR 21 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR2002
BUF1001
Shots on goal TOR 14, BUF 31W M. PalmateerL D. Edwards
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 1-2.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .857
TOR M. Palmateer .968
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
TOR 1 of 2
TURNING POINT
R. Ellis goal (P1 15:22), Sabres win chance drops from 52% to 34%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Luce
1 (1G)
POINTS
G. Korab
7
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.857 (12/14)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 15:22R. Ellis (4) 52% to 34%-18
  2. P1 08:15P. Boutette (7) 70% to 53%-17
  3. P1 03:22D. Luce (7) 53% to 70%+17
  4. P2 13:22Fighting on Pat Boutette, 5 min 19% to 29%+10

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no
No
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.8
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
2
0.0
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
0
0
7
0.5
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
Total
1
2
3
9
31
3.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards142.857-0.359:10L

Team Stats

TORBUF
14Shots on Goal31
2Power Play Chances3
50%PP%0%
100%PK%50%
1PPG0
11Penalty Minutes9

Full Game Log

1ST
03:22GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (7), assists: Jocelyn Guevremont, Craig Ramsay
08:15GOAL (TOR): Pat Boutette (7), assists: Ian Turnbull, Jerry Butler
15:22GOAL (TOR): Ron Ellis (4), assists: Darryl Sittler, Borje Salming
@ AFM (Nov 16, 1977)@ WSH (Nov 19, 1977) ›