@ CHI (Nov 30, 1977)@ PIT (Dec 3, 1977) ›

December 1, 1977

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

MTL 13 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL0011
BUF1203
Shots on goal MTL 35, BUF 30W D. EdwardsL K. Dryden
Summary

MTL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .971
MTL K. Dryden .900
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 2
MTL 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
G. McAdam goal (P2 8:29), Sabres win chance rises from 70% to 86%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Martin
1 (1G)
POINTS
R. Martin
6
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.971 (34/35)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 08:29G. McAdam (3) 70% to 86%+16
  2. P1 13:00D. Gare (13) 51% to 66%+15
  3. P2 11:16R. Martin (9) 87% to 96%+9
  4. P3 00:36S. Shutt (12) 98% to 92%-6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#7 R. Martin (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
6
1.2
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.5
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
1.0
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
0.8
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
0
1
-1
2
4
0.9
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
1
1
+2
4
3
0.5
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
Total
3
4
7
12
30
6.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards351.9712.760:00W

Team Stats

MTLBUF
35Shots on Goal30
5Power Play Chances2
0%PP%50%
50%PK%100%
0PPG1
6Penalty Minutes12

Full Game Log

1ST
13:00GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (13), unassisted
2ND
08:29GOAL (BUF): Gary McAdam (3), assists: Rene Robert, Jocelyn Guevremont
11:16GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (9), assists: Andre Savard, Ric Seiling
3RD
00:36GOAL (MTL): Steve Shutt (12), assists: Larry Robinson, Yvon Lambert
@ CHI (Nov 30, 1977)@ PIT (Dec 3, 1977) ›