vs PIT (Dec 22, 1977)@ NYR (Dec 31, 1977) ›

December 29, 1977

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

DET 33 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs DET all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
DET1023
BUF3003
Shots on goal DET 27, BUF 28
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo tied 3-3.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .889
DET R. Low .893
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 2
DET 1 of 1
TURNING POINT
N. Libett goal (P3 19:57), Sabres win chance drops from 100% to 54%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Gare
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
R. Martin
5
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.889 (24/27)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 63%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDET
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 19:57N. Libett (7) 100% to 54%-46
  2. P1 02:30G. McAdam (9) 63% to 77%+14
  3. P3 00:27D. Polonich (7) 95% to 83%-12
  4. P1 18:41D. Gare (16) 78% to 90%+12

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
2
2
-1
0
2
1.5
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
1
2
-1
0
5
1.7
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
1
2
-1
0
4
1.6
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#21 R. Schock (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
-0.1
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
Total
3
6
9
6
28
7.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards273.8890.260:00T

Team Stats

DETBUF
27Shots on Goal28
1Power Play Chances2
100%PP%50%
50%PK%0%
1PPG1
8Penalty Minutes6

Full Game Log

1ST
02:30GOAL (BUF): Gary McAdam (9), assists: Bill Hajt, Gilbert Perreault
09:55GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (17), assists: Craig Ramsay, Danny Gare
12:05GOAL (DET): Andre St. Laurent (11), assists: Dennis Hull, Perry Miller
18:41GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (16), assists: Craig Ramsay, Don Luce
3RD
00:27GOAL (DET): Dennis Polonich (7), assists: Dan Maloney
19:57GOAL (DET): Nick Libett (7), assists: Al Cameron, Ron Low
vs PIT (Dec 22, 1977)@ NYR (Dec 31, 1977) ›