@ TOR (Feb 1, 1978)@ MNS (Feb 4, 1978) ›

February 2, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

BOS 13 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS1001
BUF1113
Shots on goal BOS 30, BUF 30W D. EdwardsL G. Cheevers
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .967
BOS G. Cheevers .931
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
BOS 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
J. Lorentz goal (P2 10:12), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 71%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Gare
2 (2G)
POINTS
R. Robert
5
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.967 (29/30)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 10:12J. Lorentz (3) 50% to 71%+21
  2. P1 06:37D. Gare (23) 31% to 48%+17
  3. P1 04:44J. Wensink (11) 48% to 31%-17
  4. P3 10:13Fighting on Richie Dunn, 5 min 92% to 83%-9

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no
No
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#18 D. Gare (RW)
2
0
2
+1
0
3
1.7
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
1
1
0
9
3
0.3
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
4
0.7
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
1
1
0
7
2
0.4
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#21 R. Schock (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#27 J. Kowal (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
Total
3
6
9
22
30
7.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards301.9672.260:00W

Team Stats

BOSBUF
30Shots on Goal30
3Power Play Chances3
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG1
36Penalty Minutes24

Full Game Log

1ST
04:44GOAL (BOS): John Wensink (11), assists: Rick Smith
06:37GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (23), assists: Don Luce, Richie Dunn
2ND
10:12GOAL (BUF): Jim Lorentz (3), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Jerry Korab
3RD
19:08GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (24), assists: Craig Ramsay, Jocelyn Guevremont
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