‹ vs PIT (Feb 26, 1978)vs NYI (Mar 2, 1978) ›

March 1, 1978

Omni Coliseum | Atlanta

BUF 4 – 3 AFM

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs AFM all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0224
AFM0123
Shots on goal BUF 30, AFM 40W R. SauveL D. Bouchard
Summary

AFM had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Sauve .925
AFM D. Bouchard .867
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
AFM 3 of 5
TURNING POINT
B. Hajt goal (P2 11:13), Sabres win chance rises from 56% to 78%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Gare
3 (3A)
POINTS
D. Gare
4
SHOTS
R. Sauve
.925 (37/40)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFAFM
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 11:13B. Hajt (2) 56% to 78%+22
  2. P3 05:31E. Vail (15) 95% to 82%-13
  3. P3 03:25D. Luce (24) 82% to 95%+13
  4. P2 16:34R. Robert (19) 80% to 93%+13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
3
3
+2
0
4
2.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
2
2
+3
0
0
1.4
#14 R. Robert (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
0
1
+3
0
3
1.0
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
1
1
+1
4
2
0.6
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#24 W. Hajt (D)
1
0
1
+2
0
1
0.8
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#21 R. Schock (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
Total
4
6
10
10
30
8.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#28 R. Sauve403–.925–1.560:00W

Team Stats

BUFAFM
30Shots on Goal40
3Power Play Chances5
33%PP%60%
40%PK%67%
1PPG3
10Penalty Minutes6

Full Game Log

2ND
11:13GOAL (BUF): Bill Hajt (2), assists: Craig Ramsay, Danny Gare
16:34GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (19), assists: Craig Ramsay, Danny Gare
19:57GOAL (AFM): Willi Plett (13), assists: Tom Lysiak, Guy Chouinard
3RD
03:25GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (24), assists: Jim Schoenfeld, Danny Gare
05:31GOAL (AFM): Eric Vail (15), assists: Guy Chouinard, Tom Lysiak
10:28GOAL (BUF): Jocelyn Guevremont (5), unassisted
15:31GOAL (AFM): Bob MacMillan (24), assists: Bobby Lalonde, Eric Vail
‹ vs PIT (Feb 26, 1978)vs NYI (Mar 2, 1978) ›