vs MTL (Mar 6, 1978)@ NYI (Mar 11, 1978) ›

March 9, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

LAK 33 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs LAK all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
LAK2013
BUF3003
Shots on goal LAK 19, BUF 37
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and tied 3-3.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .842
LAK G. Simmons .919
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
LAK 0 of 1
TURNING POINT
D. Taylor goal (P3 10:31), Sabres win chance drops from 88% to 56%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Martin
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Gare
7
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.842 (16/19)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 62%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFLAK
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 10:31D. Taylor (18) 88% to 56%-32
  2. P3 11:46Fighting on Hartland Monahan, 5 min 38% to 56%+18
  3. P3 11:46Fighting on Jerry Korab, 5 min 55% to 38%-17
  4. P1 17:47D. Grant (9) 78% to 60%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#7 R. Martin (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
#12 A. Savard (C)
1
0
1
-2
0
1
0.8
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
1
1
-2
0
2
0.9
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
1
1
-2
0
2
0.7
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
1
1
-2
0
4
1.0
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
7
0.5
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#21 R. Schock (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#27 J. Kowal (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
+1
7
3
-0.1
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
7
0.5
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
3
5
8
7
37
7.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards193.842-0.660:00T

Team Stats

LAKBUF
19Shots on Goal37
1Power Play Chances3
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG1
11Penalty Minutes7

Full Game Log

1ST
01:28GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (25), assists: Craig Ramsay
10:16GOAL (BUF): Andre Savard (17), assists: Gary McAdam, Ric Seiling
12:28GOAL (LAK): Dave Taylor (17), assists: Danny Grant
17:47GOAL (LAK): Danny Grant (9), assists: Randy Manery
18:44GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (21), assists: Jocelyn Guevremont, Gilbert Perreault
3RD
10:31GOAL (LAK): Dave Taylor (18), unassisted
vs MTL (Mar 6, 1978)@ NYI (Mar 11, 1978) ›