@ NYI (Mar 11, 1978)vs PHI (Mar 16, 1978) ›

March 12, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

CHI 25 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI0022
BUF3205
Shots on goal CHI 29, BUF 26W D. EdwardsL E. Johnston
Summary

CHI had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .931
CHI E. Johnston .808
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 3
CHI 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
D. Gare goal (P1 8:46), Sabres win chance rises from 62% to 77%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Martin
4 (2G-2A)
POINTS
D. Gare
4
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.931 (27/29)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 63%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 08:46D. Gare (37) 62% to 77%+15
  2. P1 10:06J. Korab (7) 78% to 89%+11
  3. P1 13:15R. Martin (22) 90% to 96%+6
  4. P1 05:36Tripping on Lee Fogolin, 2 min 62% to 59%-3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#7 R. Martin (LW)
2
2
4
+1
0
3
3.1
#11 G. Perreault (C)
1
3
4
+2
0
2
2.9
#4 G. Korab (D)
1
1
2
0
0
1
1.4
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.8
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
+1
9
0
-0.4
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
#21 R. Schock (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#27 J. Kowal (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
-1
4
0
-0.3
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
Total
5
10
15
13
26
11.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards292.9311.260:00W

Team Stats

CHIBUF
29Shots on Goal26
2Power Play Chances3
0%PP%67%
33%PK%100%
0PPG2
15Penalty Minutes13

Full Game Log

1ST
08:46GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (37), assists: Rick Martin, Gilbert Perreault
10:06GOAL (BUF): Jerry Korab (7), assists: Ric Seiling, Andre Savard
13:15GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (22), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Jocelyn Guevremont
2ND
07:01GOAL (BUF): Gilbert Perreault (39), assists: Rick Martin, Derek Smith
13:31GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (23), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Jerry Korab
3RD
06:05GOAL (CHI): Mike O'connell (1), assists: Dale Tallon, Stan Mikita
11:11GOAL (CHI): John Marks (12), assists: Pierre Plante, Dale Tallon
@ NYI (Mar 11, 1978)vs PHI (Mar 16, 1978) ›