vs PHI (Mar 16, 1978)@ LAK (Mar 21, 1978) ›

March 18, 1978

Spectrum | Philadelphia

BUF 22 PHI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0112
PHI0112
Shots on goal BUF 33, PHI 39
Summary

PHI had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 2-2.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .949
PHI B. Parent .939
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
PHI 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
D. Gare goal (P3 11:35), Sabres win chance rises from 13% to 48%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Gare
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Edwards
.949 (37/39)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 11:35D. Gare (39) 13% to 48%+35
  2. P3 00:29B. Clarke (20) 47% to 21%-26
  3. P2 16:32R. MacLeish (30) 72% to 47%-25
  4. P2 06:48R. Martin (24) 46% to 68%+22

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no
No
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
1
2
+1
2
3
1.5
#7 R. Martin (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.7
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
1
1
0
4
1
0.3
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#21 R. Schock (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.4
#23 L. Carriere (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
Total
2
4
6
10
33
5.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards392.9492.260:00T

Team Stats

BUFPHI
33Shots on Goal39
5Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
12Penalty Minutes16

Full Game Log

2ND
06:48GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (24), assists: Danny Gare, Jim Schoenfeld
16:32GOAL (PHI): Rick MacLeish (30), unassisted
3RD
00:29GOAL (PHI): Bobby Clarke (20), assists: Bill Barber
11:35GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (39), assists: Don Luce, Craig Ramsay
vs PHI (Mar 16, 1978)@ LAK (Mar 21, 1978) ›