‹ @ VAN (Mar 24, 1978)@ DET (Mar 28, 1978) ›

March 25, 1978

McNichols Sports Arena | Denver

BUF 4 – 3 CLR

FINAL

	1ST	2ND	3RD	T
BUF	2	2	0	4
CLR	1	1	1	3

Shots on goal BUF 29, CLR 28W D. EdwardsL B. McKenzie

Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 4-3.

IN NET: Buffalo D. Edwards .893
CLR B. McKenzie .862
POWER PLAY: Buffalo 1 of 2
CLR 0 of 1
TURNING POINT: C. Ramsay goal (P1 5:13), Sabres win chance rises from 46% to 63%
WIN DNA: 3 of 4 winning traits

Game Leaders

R. Martin

2 (2G)

POINTS

R. Martin

SHOTS

D. Edwards

.893 (25/28)

SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 64%.

P3 20:00

BIGGEST SWINGS

P1 05:13C. Ramsay (26) 46% to 63%+17
P1 04:16A. Spruce (19) 63% to 46%-17
P1 19:29R. Martin (27) 63% to 79%+16
P2 12:11G. Perreault (41) 81% to 93%+12

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game

Yes

3+ different scorers

Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no

Yes

Defensemen combined for 3+ points

Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no

Scored first

Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no

Yes

Depth forward scored

too few games to split

Box Score

Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	Game Score
Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	GS
#7 R. Martin (LW)	2	0	2	+1	0	6	2.0
#11 G. Perreault (C)	1	1	2	-1	0	4	1.8
#22 J. Guevremont (D)	0	2	2	+2	0	1	1.5
#8 J. Lorentz (C)	0	1	1	+1	0	1	0.6
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)	1	0	1	+1	0	2	0.9
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)	0	1	1	-2	0	0	0.6
#21 R. Schock (C)	0	1	1	-2	0	0	0.7
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)	0	1	1	+1	0	0	0.6
#12 A. Savard (C)	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.2
#15 G. McAdam (RW)	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.1
#16 R. Seiling (RW)	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.1
#19 D. Smith (C)	0	0	0	+1	0	6	0.5
#20 D. Luce (C)	0	0	0	+1	0	1	0.1
#4 G. Korab (D)	0	0	0	-1	0	0	0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)	0	0	0	-1	2	2	0.0
#23 L. Carriere (D)	0	0	0	-1	0	0	0.0
#24 W. Hajt (D)	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.2
Total	4	7	11		2	29	9.5

Goalie	SA	GA	xGA	SV%	GSAx	GS	TOI ▾	Dec
#1 D. Edwards	28	3	–	.893	–	0.3	60:00	W

Team Stats

BUFCLR

29Shots on Goal28

2Power Play Chances1

50%PP%0%

100%PK%50%

1PPG0

2Penalty Minutes4

Full Game Log

1ST

04:16GOAL (CLR): Andy Spruce (19), assists: Fred Ahern Jr, Barry Beck

05:13GOAL (BUF): Craig Ramsay (26), assists: Jocelyn Guevremont

19:29GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (27), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Jim Schoenfeld

2ND

09:38GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (28), assists: Ron Schock, Fred Stanfield

10:32GOAL (CLR): Denis Dupere (12), assists: Wilf Paiement, Mike Kitchen

12:11GOAL (BUF): Gilbert Perreault (41), assists: Jocelyn Guevremont, Jim Lorentz

3RD

04:24GOAL (CLR): Nelson Pyatt (9), assists: Fred Ahern Jr

‹ @ VAN (Mar 24, 1978)@ DET (Mar 28, 1978) ›