‹ @ TOR (Apr 1, 1978)@ WSH (Apr 4, 1978) ›

April 2, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

AFM 4 – 2 BUF

FINAL

	1ST	2ND	3RD	T
AFM	1	2	1	4
BUF	0	1	1	2

Shots on goal AFM 34, BUF 26W D. BouchardL D. Edwards

Summary

AFM had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-2.

IN NET: Buffalo D. Edwards .882
AFM D. Bouchard .923
POWER PLAY: Buffalo 0 of 5
AFM 0 of 0
TURNING POINT: B. MacMillan goal (P2 15:30), Sabres win chance drops from 31% to 13%
WIN DNA: 1 of 4 winning traits

Game Leaders

R. Robert

1 (1G)

POINTS

R. Martin

SHOTS

D. Edwards

.882 (30/34)

SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 60%.

P3 20:00

BIGGEST SWINGS

P2 15:30B. MacMillan (38) 31% to 13%-18
P2 12:26R. Robert (23) 15% to 33%+18
P2 07:59T. Lysiak (27) 35% to 17%-18
P1 04:37B. Simpson (9) 60% to 43%-17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game

3+ different scorers

Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no

Defensemen combined for 3+ points

Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no

Scored first

Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no

Yes

Depth forward scored

too few games to split

Box Score

Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	Game Score
Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	GS
#7 R. Martin (LW)	0	1	1	+1	0	4	1.0
#11 G. Perreault (C)	0	1	1	+1	0	3	0.8
#12 A. Savard (C)	0	1	1	-1	0	2	0.7
#14 R. Robert (RW)	1	0	1	+1	0	4	1.1
#15 G. McAdam (RW)	0	1	1	-1	2	0	0.5
#16 R. Seiling (RW)	1	0	1	-1	2	2	0.8
#8 J. Lorentz (C)	0	0	0	-2	0	0	0.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)	0	0	0	-1	0	0	0.0
#19 D. Smith (C)	0	0	0	-1	0	1	0.1
#20 D. Luce (C)	0	0	0	-2	0	2	0.2
#21 R. Schock (C)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#3 W. Stewart (D)	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.1
#4 G. Korab (D)	0	0	0	-2	0	3	0.2
#5 L. Fogolin (D)	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.2
#22 J. Guevremont (D)	0	0	0	-2	0	1	0.1
#23 L. Carriere (D)	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.1
#24 W. Hajt (D)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
Total	2	4	6		4	26	5.7

Goalie	SA	GA	xGA	SV%	GSAx	GS	TOI ▾	Dec
#1 D. Edwards	34	4	–	.882	–	0.0	59:43	L

Team Stats

AFMBUF

34Shots on Goal26

0Power Play Chances5

–PP%0%

100%PK%–

0PPG0

14Penalty Minutes4

Full Game Log

1ST

04:37GOAL (AFM): Bobby Simpson (9), assists: Dave Shand, Guy Chouinard

2ND

07:59GOAL (AFM): Tom Lysiak (27), assists: Dave Shand, Harold Phillipoff

12:26GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (23), assists: Rick Martin, Gilbert Perreault

15:30GOAL (AFM): Bob MacMillan (38), assists: Miles Zaharko

3RD

08:51GOAL (AFM): Ken Houston (22), assists: Rey Comeau

12:32GOAL (BUF): Ric Seiling (18), assists: Gary McAdam, Andre Savard

‹ @ TOR (Apr 1, 1978)@ WSH (Apr 4, 1978) ›