April 9, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

TOR 1 – 2 BUF

FINAL

	1ST	2ND	3RD	T
TOR	0	1	0	1
BUF	2	0	0	2

Shots on goal TOR 24, BUF 27W D. EdwardsL G. McRae

Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-1.

IN NET: Buffalo D. Edwards .958
TOR G. McRae .926
POWER PLAY: Buffalo 0 of 8
TOR 1 of 5
TURNING POINT: D. Smith goal (P1 4:59), Sabres win chance rises from 58% to 74%
WIN DNA: 2 of 4 winning traits

Game Leaders

D. Smith

1 (1G)

POINTS

J. Guevremont

SHOTS

D. Edwards

.958 (23/24)

SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

P3 20:00

BIGGEST SWINGS

P1 04:59D. Smith (3) 58% to 74%+16
P2 03:53L. McDonald (47) 89% to 76%-13
P1 10:29T. Martin (3) 74% to 87%+13
P2 12:42Fighting on Gary McAdam, 5 min 79% to 68%-11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1977–78 regular season (80 games).

Wins (44)Losses (19)This game

3+ different scorers

Sabres win 91% when yes, 25% when no

Defensemen combined for 3+ points

Sabres win 86% when yes, 61% when no

Yes

Scored first

Sabres win 85% when yes, 41% when no

Yes

Depth forward scored

too few games to split

Box Score

Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	Game Score
Player	G	A	P ▾	+/-	PIM	SOG	GS
#14 R. Robert (RW)	0	1	1	+1	0	2	0.9
#19 D. Smith (C)	1	0	1	+2	0	3	1.0
#21 R. Schock (C)	0	1	1	+1	0	1	0.6
#25 T. Martin (LW)	1	0	1	+2	0	2	0.9
#5 L. Fogolin (D)	0	1	1	+1	2	1	0.6
#7 R. Martin (LW)	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.2
#8 J. Lorentz (C)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#11 G. Perreault (C)	0	0	0	0	2	1	-0.1
#12 A. Savard (C)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
#15 G. McAdam (RW)	0	0	0	0	5	1	-0.1
#16 R. Seiling (RW)	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.2
#20 D. Luce (C)	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.2
#3 W. Stewart (D)	0	0	0	+1	2	3	0.1
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)	0	0	0	+2	2	3	0.1
#22 J. Guevremont (D)	0	0	0	0	2	4	0.2
#24 W. Hajt (D)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0
Total	2	3	5		15	27	4.6

Goalie	SA	GA	xGA	SV%	GSAx	GS	TOI ▾	Dec
#1 D. Edwards	24	1	–	.958	–	1.6	60:00	W

Team Stats

TORBUF

24Shots on Goal27

5Power Play Chances8

20%PP%0%

100%PK%80%

1PPG0

23Penalty Minutes17

Full Game Log

1ST

04:59GOAL (BUF): Derek Smith (3), assists: Lee Fogolin, Ron Schock

10:29GOAL (BUF): Terry Martin (3), assists: Rene Robert

2ND

03:53GOAL (TOR): Lanny McDonald (47), assists: Borje Salming, Darryl Sittler

‹ @ BOS (Apr 6, 1978)