@ TOR (Oct 18, 1978)@ VAN (Oct 22, 1978) ›

October 19, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

TOR 01 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR0000
BUF1001
Shots on goal TOR 19, BUF 33W D. EdwardsL P. Harrison
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 1-0.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards 1.000
TOR P. Harrison .970
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
TOR 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
C. Ramsay goal (P1 9:57), Sabres win chance rises from 52% to 69%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Ramsay
1 (1G)
POINTS
R. Martin
6
SHOTS
D. Edwards
1.000 (19/19)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 09:57C. Ramsay (1) 52% to 69%+17
  2. P2 16:17Fighting on Ric Seiling, 5 min 76% to 63%-13
  3. P2 16:17Fighting on Dave Hutchison, 5 min 68% to 79%+11
  4. P1 16:16Fighting on Danny Gare, 5 min 70% to 61%-9

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
6
0.5
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
-0.1
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
1
-0.1
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
0
4
4
0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
4
2
-0.1
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
Total
1
2
3
20
33
3.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards1901.0001.960:00W

Team Stats

TORBUF
19Shots on Goal33
2Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
36Penalty Minutes20

Full Game Log

1ST
09:57GOAL (BUF): Craig Ramsay (1), assists: Gary McAdam, Bill Stewart
@ TOR (Oct 18, 1978)@ VAN (Oct 22, 1978) ›