vs MNS (Nov 5, 1978)@ WSH (Nov 11, 1978) ›

November 9, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

PIT 44 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PIT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT0224
BUF0224
Shots on goal PIT 36, BUF 34
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo tied 4-4.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .889
PIT D. Herron .882
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 2
PIT 0 of 1
TURNING POINT
R. Carlyle goal (P3 17:27), Sabres win chance drops from 95% to 51%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Robert
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
R. Robert
6
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.889 (32/36)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPIT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 17:27R. Carlyle (2) 95% to 51%-44
  2. P3 07:07C. Ramsay (4) 50% to 81%+31
  3. P3 04:27G. Ferguson (2) 81% to 52%-29
  4. P3 03:55R. Robert (1) 52% to 80%+28

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#14 R. Robert (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
6
1.9
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
2
2
0
0
4
1.4
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
1
1
-1
0
5
1.1
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
#11 G. Perreault (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
3
1.0
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
1
0
1
-1
2
2
0.8
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.7
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
1
1
-3
0
2
0.7
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
Total
4
8
12
2
34
10.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards364.8890.260:00T

Team Stats

PITBUF
36Shots on Goal34
1Power Play Chances2
0%PP%50%
50%PK%100%
0PPG1
4Penalty Minutes2

Full Game Log

2ND
02:51GOAL (PIT): Ron Stackhouse (3), assists: Greg Malone
07:01GOAL (PIT): Greg Malone (5), assists: Ross Lonsberry, Bob Paradise
11:15GOAL (BUF): Gilbert Perreault (2), assists: Rick Martin, Bill Hajt
18:16GOAL (BUF): Ric Seiling (4), assists: Rene Robert, Jerry Korab
3RD
03:55GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (1), assists: Andre Savard, Bill Stewart
04:27GOAL (PIT): George Ferguson (2), assists: Gregg Sheppard, Randy Carlyle
07:07GOAL (BUF): Craig Ramsay (4), assists: Don Luce, Jerry Korab
17:27GOAL (PIT): Randy Carlyle (2), assists: Ron Stackhouse
vs MNS (Nov 5, 1978)@ WSH (Nov 11, 1978) ›