vs STL (Nov 16, 1978)vs MNS (Nov 19, 1978) ›

November 18, 1978

Detroit Olympia | Detroit

BUF 31 DET

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs DET all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1113
DET0011
Shots on goal BUF 22, DET 39W D. EdwardsL J. Rutherford
Summary

DET had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .974
DET J. Rutherford .905
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 0
DET 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
R. Martin goal (P1 2:06), Sabres win chance rises from 47% to 64%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Martin
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Gare
5
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.974 (38/39)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDET
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 02:06R. Martin (8) 47% to 64%+17
  2. P2 17:08R. Robert (3) 73% to 90%+17
  3. P3 07:22R. Larson (6) 95% to 80%-15
  4. P2 12:45Tripping on Rene Robert, 2 min 72% to 67%-5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#7 R. Martin (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
#14 R. Robert (RW)
1
0
1
+1
4
3
0.7
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
#4 G. Korab (D)
1
0
1
+2
0
2
0.9
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
5
0.4
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
Total
3
4
7
8
22
5.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards391.9743.160:00W

Team Stats

BUFDET
22Shots on Goal39
0Power Play Chances3
PP%0%
100%PK%
0PPG0
8Penalty Minutes2

Full Game Log

1ST
02:06GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (8), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Jocelyn Guevremont
2ND
17:08GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (3), assists: Terry Martin, Andre Savard
3RD
07:22GOAL (DET): Reed Larson (6), assists: Thommie Bergman
19:35GOAL (BUF): Jerry Korab (3), unassisted
vs STL (Nov 16, 1978)vs MNS (Nov 19, 1978) ›