vs MNS (Nov 19, 1978)@ BOS (Nov 23, 1978) ›

November 22, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

PHI 32 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI0123
BUF1102
Shots on goal PHI 33, BUF 22W B. ParentL D. Edwards
Summary

PHI had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .909
PHI B. Parent .909
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
PHI 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
J. Evans goal (P3 3:53), Sabres win chance drops from 53% to 23%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Robert
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
A. Savard
3
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.909 (30/33)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 03:53J. Evans (3) 53% to 23%-30
  2. P3 01:24R. MacLeish (7) 79% to 53%-26
  3. P1 09:59A. Savard (6) 55% to 72%+17
  4. P2 15:01M. Bridgman (5) 91% to 77%-14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#14 R. Robert (RW)
1
1
2
+2
0
1
1.5
#12 A. Savard (C)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.9
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
1
1
0
2
1
0.5
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
-1
7
3
-0.1
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
-1
5
3
0.1
Total
2
4
6
14
22
5.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards333.9090.859:20L

Team Stats

PHIBUF
33Shots on Goal22
2Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
14Penalty Minutes14

Full Game Log

1ST
09:59GOAL (BUF): Andre Savard (6), assists: Rene Robert, Terry Martin
2ND
13:59GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (4), assists: Gary McAdam, Lee Fogolin
15:01GOAL (PHI): Mel Bridgman (5), assists: Paul Holmgren, Kevin McCarthy
3RD
01:24GOAL (PHI): Rick MacLeish (7), unassisted
03:53GOAL (PHI): John Paul Evans (3), assists: Dave Hoyda, Behn Wilson
vs MNS (Nov 19, 1978)@ BOS (Nov 23, 1978) ›