vs CLR (Nov 26, 1978)@ MTL (Dec 2, 1978) ›

November 30, 1978

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

BOS 43 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS1124
BUF0213
Shots on goal BOS 44, BUF 27W J. PettieL R. Sauve
Summary

BOS had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Sauve .909
BOS J. Pettie .889
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 2
BOS 0 of 1
TURNING POINT
J. Wensink goal (P3 7:56), Sabres win chance drops from 50% to 18%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Smith
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Gare
5
SHOTS
R. Sauve
.909 (40/44)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 07:56J. Wensink (11) 50% to 18%-32
  2. P2 15:50C. Ramsay (8) 25% to 50%+25
  3. P2 14:30R. Middleton (10) 50% to 26%-24
  4. P2 05:44D. Smith (2) 30% to 50%+20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
2
2
0
0
2
1.5
#19 D. Smith (C)
2
0
2
0
0
2
1.7
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
1
0
1
-1
0
3
1.0
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
1
1
-1
2
4
0.7
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
5
1.1
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.7
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.1
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#29 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
Total
3
6
9
4
27
7.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#28 R. Sauve444.9091.059:26L

Team Stats

BOSBUF
44Shots on Goal27
1Power Play Chances2
0%PP%50%
50%PK%100%
0PPG1
6Penalty Minutes4

Full Game Log

1ST
05:27GOAL (BOS): Don Marcotte (9), assists: Peter McNab, Dennis O'Brien
2ND
05:44GOAL (BUF): Derek Smith (2), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Rene Robert
14:30GOAL (BOS): Rick Middleton (10), assists: Jean Ratelle, Al Secord
15:50GOAL (BUF): Craig Ramsay (8), assists: Danny Gare, Jerry Korab
3RD
07:56GOAL (BOS): John Wensink (11), assists: Terry O'Reilly, Peter McNab
09:41GOAL (BOS): Wayne Cashman (5), assists: Rick Smith, Bob Miller
18:20GOAL (BUF): Derek Smith (3), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Bill Stewart
vs CLR (Nov 26, 1978)@ MTL (Dec 2, 1978) ›