vs PIT (Jan 14, 1979)@ BOS (Jan 20, 1979) ›

January 18, 1979

Spectrum | Philadelphia

BUF 44 PHI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1214
PHI1214
Shots on goal BUF 29, PHI 28
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo tied 4-4.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .857
PHI W. Stephenson .862
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
PHI 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
M. Bridgman goal (P3 19:44), Sabres win chance drops from 99% to 49%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Martin
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
C. Ramsay
4
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.857 (24/28)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 19:44M. Bridgman (12) 99% to 49%-50
  2. P3 07:30D. Smith (14) 47% to 80%+33
  3. P2 16:39B. Kelly (4) 72% to 47%-25
  4. P2 06:51G. Perreault (15) 26% to 46%+20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#7 R. Martin (LW)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.5
#11 G. Perreault (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
1.8
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
#19 D. Smith (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
1
1
-1
2
3
0.8
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.3
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
Total
4
5
9
4
29
8.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards284.857-0.660:00T

Team Stats

BUFPHI
29Shots on Goal28
4Power Play Chances2
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
4Penalty Minutes8

Full Game Log

1ST
13:26GOAL (PHI): Don Saleski (8), assists: Blake Dunlop, Behn Wilson
15:37GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (12), assists: Gilbert Perreault
2ND
01:34GOAL (PHI): Andre Dupont (3), assists: Dennis Ververgaert
06:51GOAL (BUF): Gilbert Perreault (15), assists: Lee Fogolin, Rene Robert
12:39GOAL (BUF): Jim Schoenfeld (5), assists: Jerry Korab, Rick Martin
16:39GOAL (PHI): Bob Kelly (4), assists: Bobby Clarke, Bob Dailey
3RD
07:30GOAL (BUF): Derek Smith (14), unassisted
19:44GOAL (PHI): Mel Bridgman (12), assists: Behn Wilson, Rick MacLeish
vs PIT (Jan 14, 1979)@ BOS (Jan 20, 1979) ›