@ DET (Jan 27, 1979)vs AFM (Jan 31, 1979) ›

January 28, 1979

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

MNS 31 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MNS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
MNS1113
BUF0101
Shots on goal MNS 19, BUF 26W G. EdwardsL R. Sauve
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 1-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Sauve .842
MNS G. Edwards .962
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 1
MNS 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
M. Fidler goal (P2 18:05), Sabres win chance drops from 55% to 28%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Luce
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Luce
4
SHOTS
R. Sauve
.842 (16/19)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 57%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMNS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 18:05M. Fidler (6) 55% to 28%-27
  2. P2 12:22D. Luce (17) 31% to 55%+24
  3. P1 17:55M. Fidler (5) 56% to 37%-19
  4. P3 09:54B. Smith (16) 17% to 4%-13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
0
7
1
-0.2
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
Total
1
2
3
13
26
3.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#28 R. Sauve193.842-0.660:00L

Team Stats

MNSBUF
19Shots on Goal26
4Power Play Chances1
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
11Penalty Minutes17

Full Game Log

1ST
17:55GOAL (MNS): Mike Fidler (5), assists: Glen Sharpley
2ND
12:22GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (17), assists: Craig Ramsay, Ric Seiling
18:05GOAL (MNS): Mike Fidler (6), assists: Glen Sharpley, Gary Sargent
3RD
09:54GOAL (MNS): Bobby Smith (16), assists: Brad Maxwell, Mike Fidler
@ DET (Jan 27, 1979)vs AFM (Jan 31, 1979) ›