vs AFM (Jan 31, 1979)vs STL (Feb 4, 1979) ›

February 3, 1979

Metropolitan Sports Center | Bloomington

BUF 21 MNS

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MNS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0202
MNS1001
Shots on goal BUF 25, MNS 45W D. EdwardsL G. Edwards
Summary

MNS had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .978
MNS G. Edwards .920
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
MNS 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
R. Robert goal (P2 10:34), Sabres win chance rises from 49% to 71%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
G. Perreault
1 (1G)
POINTS
R. Robert
6
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.978 (44/45)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMNS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 10:34R. Robert (10) 49% to 71%+22
  2. P2 01:01G. Perreault (17) 29% to 48%+19
  3. P1 04:19A. MacAdam (13) 48% to 32%-16
  4. P2 06:31Slashing on Rick Martin, 5 min 49% to 38%-11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#11 G. Perreault (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
#14 R. Robert (RW)
1
0
1
0
2
6
1.0
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
+1
5
5
0.2
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
1
-0.1
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
+1
4
0
-0.3
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
22
0
-0.6
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
Total
2
2
4
40
25
3.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards451.9783.760:00W

Team Stats

BUFMNS
25Shots on Goal45
2Power Play Chances4
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
40Penalty Minutes26

Full Game Log

1ST
04:19GOAL (MNS): Al MacAdam (13), assists: Mike Polich, Steve Payne
2ND
01:01GOAL (BUF): Gilbert Perreault (17), assists: Danny Gare
10:34GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (10), assists: Jocelyn Guevremont
vs AFM (Jan 31, 1979)vs STL (Feb 4, 1979) ›