vs NYI (Feb 14, 1979)@ PIT (Feb 17, 1979) ›

February 15, 1979

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

NYR 34 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR1203
BUF2024
Shots on goal NYR 30, BUF 30W D. EdwardsL J. Davidson
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .900
NYR J. Davidson .867
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 2
NYR 2 of 3
TURNING POINT
D. Luce goal (P3 6:37), Sabres win chance rises from 49% to 80%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Savard
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Gare
5
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.900 (27/30)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 06:37D. Luce (18) 49% to 80%+31
  2. P3 02:44D. Gare (16) 25% to 49%+24
  3. P2 02:45D. Murdoch (5) 69% to 49%-20
  4. P1 04:04T. Martin (5) 49% to 66%+17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
#12 A. Savard (C)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
0
1
0
2
5
1.0
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
#21 D. Schultz (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#25 T. Martin (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.6
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#17 R. Dudley (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
+1
4
0
-0.3
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
Total
4
7
11
8
30
9.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards303.9000.560:00W

Team Stats

NYRBUF
30Shots on Goal30
3Power Play Chances2
67%PP%50%
50%PK%33%
2PPG1
6Penalty Minutes8

Full Game Log

1ST
04:04GOAL (BUF): Terry Martin (5), assists: Dave Schultz, Jocelyn Guevremont
16:12GOAL (BUF): Andre Savard (14), assists: Jerry Korab
19:29GOAL (NYR): Carol Vadnais (7), assists: Mike McEwen, Anders Hedberg
2ND
02:45GOAL (NYR): Don Murdoch (5), assists: Dave Farrish
06:43GOAL (NYR): Don Murdoch (6), assists: Mike McEwen, Don Maloney
3RD
02:44GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (16), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Rene Robert
06:37GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (18), assists: Craig Ramsay, Ric Seiling
vs NYI (Feb 14, 1979)@ PIT (Feb 17, 1979) ›