@ WSH (Feb 24, 1979)vs MNS (Mar 1, 1979) ›

February 26, 1979

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

TOR 13 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR1001
BUF0123
Shots on goal TOR 26, BUF 37W D. EdwardsL P. Harrison
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .962
TOR M. Palmateer 1.000
TOR P. Harrison .900
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
TOR 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
D. Luce goal (P3 12:12), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 87%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Luce
2 (2G)
POINTS
R. Robert
6
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.962 (25/26)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 12:12D. Luce (20) 51% to 87%+36
  2. P2 04:59D. Luce (19) 31% to 52%+21
  3. P1 08:16L. McDonald (27) 53% to 35%-18
  4. P1 03:50Fighting on Joel Quenneville, 5 min 48% to 57%+9

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
1
1
2
+3
0
3
1.5
#20 D. Luce (C)
2
0
2
+2
0
5
1.9
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
0.9
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
4
0.9
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
6
0.5
#17 R. Dudley (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
#21 D. Schultz (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
-0.1
#3 W. Stewart (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
+1
4
1
-0.2
#15 M. Boland (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)
0
0
0
0
6
2
-0.3
#27 L. Playfair (D)
0
0
0
+1
7
2
-0.1
Total
3
4
7
24
37
6.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards261.9621.860:00W

Team Stats

TORBUF
26Shots on Goal37
3Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
24Penalty Minutes24

Full Game Log

1ST
08:16GOAL (TOR): Lanny McDonald (27), assists: Darryl Sittler, Borje Salming
2ND
04:59GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (19), assists: Craig Ramsay, Ric Seiling
3RD
12:12GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (20), assists: Jerry Korab
18:37GOAL (BUF): Ric Seiling (16), assists: Andre Savard
@ WSH (Feb 24, 1979)vs MNS (Mar 1, 1979) ›