‹ @ AFM (Mar 10, 1979)@ TOR (Mar 14, 1979) ›

March 11, 1979

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

AFM 4 – 9 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs AFM all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
AFM0224
BUF2529
Shots on goal AFM 26, BUF 48W D. EdwardsL R. Lemelin
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 9-4.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .846
AFM R. Lemelin .767
AFM D. Bouchard .889
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
AFM 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
R. Robert goal (P1 9:29), Sabres win chance rises from 48% to 66%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Savard
5 (1G-4A)
POINTS
R. Martin
10
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.846 (22/26)
SAVE %

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 9 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFAFM

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFAFM
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 09:29R. Robert (15) 48% to 66%+18
  2. P1 12:24L. Fogolin (2) 66% to 81%+15
  3. P2 02:59R. Martin (20) 84% to 93%+9
  4. P2 03:51R. Robert (16) 94% to 98%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#12 A. Savard (C)
1
4
5
+4
0
3
3.6
#11 G. Perreault (C)
1
2
3
+1
0
4
2.5
#14 R. Robert (RW)
2
1
3
+3
0
6
2.5
#7 R. Martin (LW)
1
1
2
+3
0
10
2.2
#17 R. Dudley (LW)
0
2
2
+1
0
1
1.2
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
1.8
#4 G. Korab (D)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
1.6
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
1
1
2
+3
2
2
1.5
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.5
#27 L. Playfair (D)
0
1
1
+3
0
1
0.8
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
#21 D. Schultz (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
#15 M. Boland (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.0
Total
9
15
24
6
48
19.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#1 D. Edwards264–.846–-0.860:00W

Team Stats

AFMBUF
26Shots on Goal48
3Power Play Chances5
33%PP%20%
80%PK%67%
1PPG1
10Penalty Minutes6

Full Game Log

1ST
09:29GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (15), assists: Andre Savard
12:24GOAL (BUF): Lee Fogolin (2), assists: Larry Playfair, Rick Dudley
2ND
02:59GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (20), assists: Andre Savard, Jerry Korab
03:51GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (16), assists: Lee Fogolin, Andre Savard
04:35GOAL (BUF): Gilbert Perreault (21), assists: Danny Gare, Ken Breitenbach
09:14GOAL (AFM): Guy Chouinard (39), assists: Bob MacMillan
09:36GOAL (AFM): Guy Chouinard (40), assists: Dave Shand
13:09GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (21), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Rick Dudley
18:11GOAL (BUF): Jerry Korab (9), assists: Andre Savard
3RD
06:31GOAL (AFM): Don Laurence (14), assists: Jean Pronovost, John Gould
12:41GOAL (AFM): Eric Vail (29), assists: Bob MacMillan, Guy Chouinard
14:34GOAL (BUF): Andre Savard (16), assists: Rick Martin, Rene Robert
15:35GOAL (BUF): Ken Breitenbach (1), assists: Gilbert Perreault
‹ @ AFM (Mar 10, 1979)@ TOR (Mar 14, 1979) ›