@ TOR (Mar 14, 1979)@ PHI (Mar 17, 1979) ›

March 15, 1979

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

VAN 24 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs VAN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
VAN1102
BUF0224
Shots on goal VAN 20, BUF 45W D. EdwardsL G. Bromley
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .900
VAN G. Bromley .911
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
VAN 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
D. Gare goal (P2 17:15), Sabres win chance rises from 33% to 60%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Seiling
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Edwards
.900 (18/20)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 65%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFVAN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 17:15D. Gare (22) 33% to 60%+27
  2. P3 00:33R. Seiling (20) 59% to 83%+24
  3. P2 16:48R. Robert (17) 15% to 34%+19
  4. P2 05:57D. Lever (19) 40% to 21%-19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1978–79 regular season (80 games).

Wins (36)Losses (28)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 84% when yes, 28% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 88% when yes, 46% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 74% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 66% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
1
1
2
+2
0
7
2.0
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
4
1.6
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
0.9
#14 R. Robert (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.1
#17 R. Dudley (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
7
1.3
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.6
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
5
0.9
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
3
0.8
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#21 D. Schultz (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
5
1
-0.1
#15 M. Boland (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#27 L. Playfair (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
Total
4
7
11
11
45
10.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards202.9000.360:00W

Team Stats

VANBUF
20Shots on Goal45
2Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
13Penalty Minutes11

Full Game Log

1ST
02:59GOAL (VAN): Ron Sedlbauer (37), assists: Pit Martin, Bob Manno
2ND
05:57GOAL (VAN): Don Lever (19), assists: Larry Goodenough
16:48GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (17), assists: Jim Schoenfeld
17:15GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (22), assists: Rick Dudley, Jerry Korab
3RD
00:33GOAL (BUF): Ric Seiling (20), assists: Craig Ramsay, Don Luce
13:21GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (23), assists: Ric Seiling, Ken Breitenbach
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