@ CHI (Oct 31, 1979)@ PHI (Nov 4, 1979) ›

November 3, 1979

Maple Leaf Gardens | Toronto

BUF 43 TOR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1304
TOR0123
Shots on goal BUF 21, TOR 27W D. EdwardsL M. Palmateer
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Edwards .889
TOR M. Palmateer .810
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
TOR 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
R. Dudley goal (P1 10:53), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 69%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. McKegney
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Gare
3
SHOTS
D. Edwards
.889 (24/27)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 10:53R. Dudley (1) 51% to 69%+18
  2. P2 02:25G. Perreault (8) 71% to 86%+15
  3. P2 03:24R. Mongrain (1) 86% to 94%+8
  4. P1 19:56Hooking on Gilbert Perreault, 2 min 70% to 66%-4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1979–80 regular season (80 games).

Wins (47)Losses (17)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 89% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 96% when yes, 59% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 86% when yes, 45% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 85% when yes, 38% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#9 R. Dudley (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#11 G. Perreault (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
0.8
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.8
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.8
#22 L. Ruff (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#25 R. Mongrain (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#5 J. Van Boxmeer (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.1
#21 D. Schultz (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#3 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
#27 L. Playfair (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
Total
4
7
11
6
21
8.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 D. Edwards273.8890.260:00W

Team Stats

BUFTOR
21Shots on Goal27
4Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes8

Full Game Log

1ST
10:53GOAL (BUF): Rick Dudley (1), assists: Ric Seiling, Don Luce
2ND
02:25GOAL (BUF): Gilbert Perreault (8), assists: John Van Boxmeer
03:24GOAL (BUF): Robert Mongrain (1), assists: Lindy Ruff, Jim Schoenfeld
04:16GOAL (BUF): Tony McKegney (2), assists: Derek Smith, Danny Gare
17:09GOAL (TOR): Dave Williams (5), assists: Borje Salming, Lanny McDonald
3RD
09:28GOAL (TOR): Dave Williams (6), assists: Darryl Sittler
18:52GOAL (TOR): Jerry Butler (1), assists: Darryl Sittler, Borje Salming
@ CHI (Oct 31, 1979)@ PHI (Nov 4, 1979) ›