‹ vs CLR (Nov 11, 1979)@ MNS (Nov 17, 1979) ›

November 15, 1979

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

AFM 1 – 5 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs AFM all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
AFM0101
BUF2215
Shots on goal AFM 16, BUF 30W R. SauveL P. Riggin
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Sauve .938
AFM P. Riggin .833
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
AFM 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
J. Gould goal (P1 4:03), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 69%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. McKegney
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Gare
5
SHOTS
R. Sauve
.938 (15/16)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFAFM
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 04:03J. Gould (2) 53% to 69%+16
  2. P1 05:34T. McKegney (3) 69% to 83%+14
  3. P2 03:57G. Perreault (10) 87% to 95%+8
  4. P2 12:40B. Murdoch (2) 96% to 89%-7

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1979–80 regular season (80 games).

Wins (47)Losses (17)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 89% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 96% when yes, 59% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 86% when yes, 45% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 85% when yes, 38% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#8 T. McKegney (LW)
1
1
2
+2
0
1
1.5
#18 D. Gare (RW)
1
1
2
+2
7
5
1.4
#7 R. Martin (LW)
1
0
1
0
2
3
0.8
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.7
#11 G. Perreault (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
0.7
#17 J. Gould (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
3
0.8
#5 J. Van Boxmeer (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#9 R. Dudley (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#19 D. Smith (C)
0
0
0
+2
0
3
0.2
#22 L. Ruff (LW)
0
0
0
+3
5
3
0.1
#25 R. Mongrain (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#3 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
+3
0
1
0.1
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#27 L. Playfair (D)
0
0
0
0
12
0
-0.4
Total
5
5
10
28
30
8.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#28 R. Sauve161–.938–0.860:00W

Team Stats

AFMBUF
16Shots on Goal30
2Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
30Penalty Minutes28

Full Game Log

1ST
04:03GOAL (BUF): John Gould (2), assists: Craig Ramsay, Don Luce
05:34GOAL (BUF): Tony McKegney (3), assists: John Van Boxmeer, Danny Gare
2ND
03:57GOAL (BUF): Gilbert Perreault (10), unassisted
12:40GOAL (AFM): Bob Murdoch (2), assists: Willi Plett, Jean Pronovost
18:41GOAL (BUF): Danny Gare (9), assists: Tony McKegney
3RD
10:56GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (6), unassisted
‹ vs CLR (Nov 11, 1979)@ MNS (Nov 17, 1979) ›