‹ @ MTL (Jan 27, 1986)vs NYR (Jan 31, 1986) ›

January 29, 1986

Winnipeg Arena | Winnipeg

BUF 3 – 5 WIN

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WIN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1203
WIN2125
Shots on goal BUF 22, WIN 35W M. BehrendL T. Barrasso
Summary

WIN had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-3.

IN NET
Buffalo T. Barrasso .857
WIN M. Behrend .864
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 4
WIN 2 of 4
TURNING POINT
D. Ellett goal (P3 15:49), Sabres win chance drops from 52% to 10%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Foligno
2 (2G)
POINTS
T. Barrasso
.857 (30/35)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWIN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 15:49D. Ellett (9) 52% to 10%-42
  2. P2 03:16L. Boschman (21) 54% to 35%-19
  3. P2 01:00M. Foligno (24) 36% to 54%+18
  4. P2 17:36M. Foligno (25) 35% to 53%+18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1985–86 regular season (80 games).

Wins (37)Losses (37, 2 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 14% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 65% when yes, 29% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#17 M. Foligno (RW)
2
0
2
-1
14
5
1.4
#18 P. Cyr (LW)
0
2
2
0
2
2
1.4
#6 P. Housley (D)
0
2
2
+1
0
0
1.1
#7 J. Tucker (RW)
0
1
1
0
4
2
0.6
#25 D. Andreychuk (LW)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.6
#29 M. Davis (LW)
1
0
1
0
2
1
0.7
#4 S. Dykstra (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#9 G. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
#16 R. Seiling (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#20 D. Lever (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#23 G. Orlando (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#26 P. Hughes (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#32 N. Lacombe (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#5 M. Ramsey (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
#8 D. Fenyves (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
#21 R. Dunn (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
Total
3
6
9
28
22
6.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#30 T. Barrasso355–.857–-0.760:00L

Team Stats

BUFWIN
22Shots on Goal35
4Power Play Chances4
50%PP%50%
50%PK%50%
2PPG2
28Penalty Minutes28

Full Game Log

1ST
02:38GOAL (BUF): Mal Davis (1), assists: John Tucker, Dave Andreychuk
03:15GOAL (WIN): Thomas Steen (10), assists: Laurie Boschman, Dale Hawerchuk
14:59GOAL (WIN): Thomas Steen (11), assists: Ray Neufeld, Dave Ellett
2ND
01:00GOAL (BUF): Mike Foligno (24), assists: Paul Cyr, Phil Housley
03:16GOAL (WIN): Laurie Boschman (21), assists: Ray Neufeld, Randy Carlyle
17:36GOAL (BUF): Mike Foligno (25), assists: Paul Cyr, Phil Housley
3RD
15:49GOAL (WIN): Dave Ellett (9), assists: Scott Arniel, Mario Marois
18:04GOAL (WIN): Brian Mullen (14), assists: Dale Hawerchuk, Randy Carlyle
‹ @ MTL (Jan 27, 1986)vs NYR (Jan 31, 1986) ›