@ DET (Oct 9, 1976)vs NYI (Oct 13, 1976) ›

October 10, 1976

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

MTL 13 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL1001
BUF1023
Shots on goal MTL 41, BUF 24W G. DesjardinsL M. Larocque
Summary

MTL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo G. Desjardins .976
MTL M. Larocque .875
TURNING POINT
B. Spencer goal (P3 6:21), Sabres win chance rises from 49% to 80%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Martin
1 (1G)
POINTS
G. Desjardins
.976 (40/41)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 06:21B. Spencer (1) 49% to 80%+31
  2. P1 07:54R. Martin (1) 48% to 66%+18
  3. P1 11:48S. Shutt (3) 64% to 48%-16
  4. P3 02:32Cross checking on Pierre Bouchard, 2 min 49% to 55%+6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1976–77 regular season (80 games).

Wins (48)Losses (24)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 57% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 44% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#7 R. Martin (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#21 B. Spencer (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
1
0.5
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
1
1
0
2
0
0.4
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.0
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
+1
5
2
0.0
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
Total
3
5
8
17
24
6.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 G. Desjardins411.9763.360:00W

Team Stats

MTLBUF
41Shots on Goal24
1PPG1
11Penalty Minutes17

Full Game Log

1ST
07:54GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (1), assists: Gilbert Perreault, Bill Hajt
11:48GOAL (MTL): Steve Shutt (3), assists: Peter Mahovlich, Guy Lafleur
3RD
06:21GOAL (BUF): Brian Spencer (1), assists: Jim Lorentz
17:27GOAL (BUF): Craig Ramsay (1), assists: Danny Gare, Jim Schoenfeld
@ DET (Oct 9, 1976)vs NYI (Oct 13, 1976) ›