‹ vs MTL (Oct 10, 1976)@ MNS (Oct 16, 1976) ›

October 13, 1976

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

NYI 4 – 3 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI2204
BUF1113
Shots on goal NYI 14, BUF 30W B. SmithL R. Sauve
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 3-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Sauve .714
NYI B. Smith .900
TURNING POINT
C. Gillies goal (P1 16:15), Sabres win chance drops from 49% to 30%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Martin
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Luce
5
SHOTS
R. Sauve
.714 (10/14)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 16:15C. Gillies (1) 49% to 30%-19
  2. P1 12:35E. Westfall (2) 52% to 33%-19
  3. P1 12:57D. Luce (1) 33% to 49%+16
  4. P2 05:06G. Howatt (1) 28% to 13%-15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1976–77 regular season (80 games).

Wins (48)Losses (24)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 57% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 44% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#7 R. Martin (LW)
1
1
2
0
0
4
1.8
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
2
2
0
0
0
1.3
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.7
#14 R. Robert (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
5
1.1
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.9
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
#9 J. Richard (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#18 D. Gare (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#21 B. Spencer (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#23 K. Breitenbach (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
Total
3
5
8
4
30
7.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#28 R. Sauve144–.714–-2.059:17L

Team Stats

NYIBUF
14Shots on Goal30
0PPG1
10Penalty Minutes4

Full Game Log

1ST
12:35GOAL (NYI): Ed Westfall (2), unassisted
12:57GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (1), assists: Jocelyn Guevremont, Craig Ramsay
16:15GOAL (NYI): Clark Gillies (1), assists: Billy Harris
2ND
05:06GOAL (NYI): Garry Howatt (1), assists: Dave Lewis
09:22GOAL (NYI): Garry Howatt (2), assists: Bobby Nystrom, Denis Potvin
18:21GOAL (BUF): Rene Robert (1), assists: Rick Martin, Gilbert Perreault
3RD
08:53GOAL (BUF): Rick Martin (2), assists: Gilbert Perreault
‹ vs MTL (Oct 10, 1976)@ MNS (Oct 16, 1976) ›