vs CLE (Jan 23, 1977)@ MTL (Jan 29, 1977) ›

January 27, 1977

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

AFM 11 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs AFM all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
AFM1001
BUF0011
Shots on goal AFM 16, BUF 30
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and tied 1-1.

IN NET
Buffalo G. Desjardins .938
AFM D. Bouchard .967
TURNING POINT
J. Schoenfeld goal (P3 17:38), Sabres win chance rises from 6% to 53%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Schoenfeld
1 (1G)
POINTS
R. Robert
4
SHOTS
G. Desjardins
.938 (15/16)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFAFM
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 17:38J. Schoenfeld (4) 6% to 53%+47
  2. P1 02:02E. Vail (23) 57% to 42%-15
  3. P2 17:05Holding on Dave Shand, 2 min 30% to 35%+5
  4. P2 05:53Interference on Ed Kea, 2 min 35% to 40%+5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1976–77 regular season (80 games).

Wins (48)Losses (24)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 57% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 44% when no
No
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
#7 R. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
#8 J. Lorentz (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#12 A. Savard (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#19 A. Tidey (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#20 D. Luce (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
#21 B. Spencer (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#5 L. Fogolin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
Total
1
0
1
4
30
2.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 G. Desjardins161.9380.860:00T

Team Stats

AFMBUF
16Shots on Goal30
1PPG0
6Penalty Minutes4

Full Game Log

1ST
02:02GOAL (AFM): Eric Vail (23), assists: Tom Lysiak, Guy Chouinard
3RD
17:38GOAL (BUF): Jim Schoenfeld (4), unassisted
vs CLE (Jan 23, 1977)@ MTL (Jan 29, 1977) ›