vs AFM (Jan 27, 1977)@ NYI (Feb 1, 1977) ›

January 29, 1977

Montreal Forum | Montreal

BUF 33 MTL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0213
MTL1203
Shots on goal BUF 27, MTL 19
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and tied 3-3.

IN NET
Buffalo G. Desjardins .842
MTL M. Larocque .889
TURNING POINT
J. Schoenfeld goal (P3 8:25), Sabres win chance rises from 12% to 42%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Savard
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
R. Robert
4
SHOTS
G. Desjardins
.842 (16/19)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 34%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 08:25J. Schoenfeld (5) 12% to 42%+30
  2. P1 17:13S. Savard (7) 36% to 19%-17
  3. P2 15:55D. Luce (14) 6% to 17%+11
  4. P2 14:47Y. Lambert (15) 17% to 6%-11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1976–77 regular season (80 games).

Wins (48)Losses (24)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 57% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 44% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
too few games to split

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#12 A. Savard (C)
1
1
2
0
2
1
1.4
#10 C. Ramsay (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
#11 G. Perreault (C)
0
1
1
-2
0
2
0.7
#14 R. Robert (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.0
#15 G. McAdam (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
#20 D. Luce (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
#25 T. Martin (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
4
0.9
#6 J. Schoenfeld (D)
1
0
1
-1
0
1
0.8
#17 F. Stanfield (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
#19 A. Tidey (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#4 G. Korab (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#22 J. Guevremont (D)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
#24 W. Hajt (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
Total
3
6
9
2
27
7.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 G. Desjardins193.842-0.660:00T

Team Stats

BUFMTL
27Shots on Goal19
1PPG0
2Penalty Minutes8

Full Game Log

1ST
17:13GOAL (MTL): Serge Savard (7), assists: Rejean Houle, Jacques Lemaire
2ND
00:35GOAL (MTL): Steve Shutt (39), assists: Jacques Lemaire, Larry Robinson
06:47GOAL (BUF): Andre Savard (22), assists: Rene Robert, Gilbert Perreault
14:47GOAL (MTL): Yvon Lambert (15), assists: Peter Mahovlich
15:55GOAL (BUF): Don Luce (14), assists: Gary McAdam, Craig Ramsay
3RD
08:25GOAL (BUF): Jim Schoenfeld (5), assists: Andre Savard, Terry Martin
vs AFM (Jan 27, 1977)@ NYI (Feb 1, 1977) ›